__/ [ Rex Ballard ] on Monday 19 February 2007 21:51 \__
> I got this on MSNBC of all places:
>
> http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15966510/
>
> A little chart called "Out of the Box"
>
> Gartner Dataquest predict that
> 32.1% of the machines will be shipped with Vista Business
> 25.9% of the machines will be shipped with Vista Home (Basic or
> Premium).
> 22.1% will be shipped with XP Pro (good for running as a VM under
> Linux).
> 9.1% will be shipped with FreeDOS or no OS at all (User will install
> Linux).
> 4.8% will be shipped with Linux
> 3.7 % will be shipped with XP Home edition.
> 2.3% will be shipped with MacOS.
>
> The big problem for Apple is ramping up production. The demand is
> there, but can Apple cash in while the pickings are good. They could
> probably get themselves ramped up to as much as 10% if they move
> quickly.
>
> As for XP home edition, it looks like almost anyone who wants to use
> Linux would get XP Pro.
>
> Keep in mind that this is what Gartner thinks PCs will look like when
> the box is booted the first time.
> If you figure that 4.8% of the boxes shipped with Linux will stay
> Linux, 9% of the NoDos or FreeDOS boxes will have "User's choice"
> Linux installed. And about 65% of the XP boxes, or about 14% would
> have Linux installed as Primary with Windows XP as Client. That would
> put Linux at about 27% of the overall market.
>
> It looks like the only version of Vista that is actually "selling" as
> a boxed version is "Ultimate", and even that isn't selling very well.
Of course, that "overall market" can be ignored by Microsoft and its
pamphlets. As long as they forbid sales of 'naked' boxes, they could always
argue that all machines sold with FreeDOS get pirated Windows on them.
Wishful thinking, eh? This affects the minds of developers, Web developers
included. This also affects perception (some people think that a majority
can never be wrong).
--
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