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Re: [News] Beyond the Illusions Imposed by Big Lies, AKA "Market Share"

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____/ Tom Shelton on Wednesday 27 August 2008 21:47 : \____

> On 2008-08-27, Roy Schestowitz <newsgroups@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>
>> Is Linux?s Marketshare Closer to 20% Or More?
>>
>> ,----[ Quote ]
>>| What I want to suggest is that the fact that you cannot prove what the
>>| marketshare is, combined with general perceptions that computers are
>>| Windows, combined with Microsoft and Apple?s PR all make it perfectly
>>| possible that Linux?s marketshare is, in fact, closer to 15% or 30%, making
>>| it possibly more than the Mac. After all, a lot seems to suggest that the
>>| Mac is weak outside the US and Linux has cought on more outside the US. But
>>| hey, that is just a guess too!
>>| 
>>| The fact is, we have no real evidence and no way of getting real evidence,
>>| so, until we get some good evidence, we shouldn?t just assume no one uses
>>| Linux.
>> `----
>>
>>
http://www.linuxloop.com/news/2008/08/26/is-linuxs-marketshare-closer-to-20-or-more/
>>
>> 40-50% installed base for GNU/Linux on the desktop, according to
>> boycottnovell. Niche sites are rarely accounted for in Big Lie 'studies'.
>>
> 
> Niche sites are exactly what you want to avoid counting in a study.  You want
> stats from sites that have wide appeal across all platforms.

Yes, but the point not to miss that it's the niche sites that get totally
ignored. You cannot operate under the assumption that your population is
perfectly homogeneous and only sample from CNN, NBC, MSN, and Yahoo. You're
stuck with a biased group, no matter how large it may be.


- -- 
"There's a lot of Linux out there -- much more than Microsoft generally signals
publicly -- and their customers are using it..." --Paul DeGroot, a Directions
On Microsoft analyst.
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