__/ [ thad01 ] on Friday 08 September 2006 16:24 \__
> Mark Kent <mark.kent@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>>
>> These various issues do point to an increasing realisation and
>> acceptance that the world must change for Microsoft to survive. I think
>> that they're banking on one more round of windows sales before it's all
>> over and the world moves to Linux. The problem after that is to get
>> next generation stuff working and people using it; perhaps the online
>> model could work for them, but I don't think that they'll ever see the
>> kind of margins they very much got used to.
>
> Oh, even if a major shift to Linux on the desktop happens, they will
> be able to milk there legacy install base for a long time... just
> look how long Netware has hung around. I do agree that they see the
> writing on the wall, however. Heck, it was spelled out quite clearly
> by one of their own in the original 'Halloween' memos (leaked MS
> documents discussing the open source threat... for those of you
> that don't know or remember).
Here are some bits, as well as the entire thing which was moved to ESR's
homepage.
http://www.catb.org/~esr/halloween/
"Halloween V: The FUD Begins!: The Sheriff of Nottingham rides again. In this
exciting episode, the things he doesn't say are more interesting than the
things he does."
"Halloween VII: Survey Says!: Microsoft's own marketing research tells it
that the FUD is backfiring."
"Halloween XI: Get The FUD: Microsoft's "Get The Facts" campaign is very
revealing, including some revelations Microsoft would probably prefer
remained concealed."
> I think Microsoft's recognition of the threat is very evident based
> on many of their strategic moves over the last several years. .Net
> positions them for an eventual multi-platform application stack if
> they lose their desktop monopoly. They continue to diversify into
> other areas with XBox and MSN. They will never admit it openly as
> that might just hasten the transition, but they can see the potential
> of OSS taking over infrastructure/commodity software, and they know
> what that means for their cash cow products. It won't happen all at
> once, but like an unstoppable glacier transforming the landscape,
> open source is reshaping the technology world. Microsoft is mostly
> powerless to stop it.
Well stated, Thad. *smile*
Best wishes,
Roy
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