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____/ bbgruff on Wednesday 29 Jun 2011 00:01 : \____
> On Tuesday 28 June 2011 23:36 Roy Schestowitz wrote:
>
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>> ____/ bbgruff on Tuesday 28 Jun 2011 21:58 : \____
>>
>>> On Tuesday 28 June 2011 20:32 Homer wrote:
>>>
>>>> Verily I say unto thee, that bbgruff spake thusly:
>>>>
>>>>> That figure must equate roughly with the rate of Windows 7 sales, in
>>>>> fact....
>>>>
>>>> Are Windows 7 sales really that high?
>>>>
>>>> Or did you mean Windows 7 "sales", as in channel-stuffing?
>>>
>>> No, I meant sales as in new instances coming "on-line". Those include
>>> pre- installed copies, of course.
>>>
>>> Before the launch of W7, I said in this group that it would need to show
>>> about a 1.5% per month increase in use, just to keep MS level with where
>>> it was.
>>>
>>> The statistics vary widely, but Web Access by W7 has been growing at
>>> between 1.2% and 1.5% per month, depending on which figures you use.
>>> Assuming that this relates to about 1,500 Million total devices, that
>>> means between 18 Million and 22.5 Million new Windows 7s a month,
>>> compared with
>>> about 15 Million Androids per month. Roughly comparable, in fact, except
>>> that Android is on an upward curve of activations, while W7 is a straight
>>> line. Android "sales" will overtake W7 sales quite soon now.
>>>
>>> Note that the Web Access figures indicate about 50,000 Androids a day,
>>> whereas there are really 500,000 new activations a day. We can safely
>>> assume that on average, a desktop/laptop is used to access the web far
>>> more frequently than a phone :-)
>>
>> Pedant's point: Microsoft does not actually 'sell' the number it states.
>> It issues an activation key that may
>> or may not be used and then counts that as "sale". The numbers used by
>> Microsoft's PR are bogus.
>
> As may be, Roy - that's why I was doing my best to calculate the actual
> number from Web Client statistics, rather than use MS sales figures.
> As you say in another response, W7 is replacing other Windows OSs.
> Numerically, more W7s are probably coming on-stream than other Windows being
> scrapped.
> However, since the total number of web-accessing clients is increasing, this
> isn't entirely good news for MS, in that its % share of web clients is going
> down. I expect this trend to accelerate as Android (etc.) gains traction on
> slates over the coming months, rather than just on phones.
Couldn't say it better!
- --
~~ Best of wishes
Dr. Roy S. Schestowitz (Ph.D. Medical Biophysics), Imaging Researcher
http://Schestowitz.com | GNU/Linux administration | PGP-Key: 0x74572E8E
Editor @ http://techrights.org & Broadcaster @ http://bytesmedia.co.uk/
GPL-licensed 3-D Othello @ http://othellomaster.com
Non-profit search engine proposal @ http://iuron.com
Contact E-mail address (direct): s at schestowitz dot com
Contact Internet phone (SIP): schestowitz@xxxxxxxxx (24/7)
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