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Re: [News] BBC: Over 96% of E-mail is SPAM

__/ [ B Gruff ] on Thursday 27 July 2006 17:24 \__

> On Thursday 27 July 2006 16:55 Roy Schestowitz wrote:
> 
>> __/ [ B Gruff ] on Thursday 27 July 2006 16:50 \__
>> 
>>> On Thursday 27 July 2006 15:12 Roy Schestowitz wrote:
>>> 
>>>> More than 95% of e-mail is 'junk'
>>>> 
>>>> ,----[ Quote ]
>>>> | More than 95% of e-mail is junk, be it spam, error messages or
>>>> | viruses, report mail monitoring firms.
>>>> |
>>>> | [...]
>>>> |
>>>> | Further work has shown that most of this junk mail is originating
>>>> | on hijacked home computers.
>>>> |
>>>> | E-mail security firm Return Path said 99% of the computers it monitors
>>>> | that send mail have been taken over by spammers or virus writers.
>>>> `----
>>>> 
>>>>                 http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/5219554.stm
>>>> 
>>>> Microsoft Windows MUST be illegalised.
>>> 
>>> Damnation - that's *another* area where the US leads the UK.
>>> Between them, they account for 25% of all spam, but they are streets
>>> ahead of us, 23.2% to 1.8% - and to make matters worse, they are #1, and
>>> we are
>>> #10 :-(
>> 
>> USA is number 1.... for SPAM export. It's actually one of my .sig's.
>> 
>> There's a misleading aspect to this statement though... a snag if you
>> like. While it might be true that most spammers (or most prolific
>> spammers) are in the States, the figures only account for machines that
>> are hijacked by spammers, not the spammers themselves. They could use
>> America as a zombie nation but live elsewhere.
> 
> True.  However, it could also be true that American spammers use the
> machines of other nations?  I don't see why you prefer one scenario over
> the other?

You  argue that there's a point of balance here... a sort of
global  equilibrium where one takes machines from the  pool,
at  random. If that were the case, come to consider how many
among  the world's machines are located in the States.  It's
only  natural  to assume that a lot of SPAM  will  originate
from  there, assuming worldwide O/S monoculture. A SPAM  per
capita  (where capita is a machine, or one inhibitant) would
be  a  more  meaningful thing for this  survey.  They  could
normalise  all  the figures by population size.  Whilst  you
could  easily  do this by looking at Wikipedia, finding  out
how  many  machines  have  not  yet  retired  and  are  also
connected is hard. And then you need to normalise by on-line
time,  bandwidth,  etc.  It  makes  it  a   high-dimensional
problem,  assuming you seek meaningful statistics from which
to conclude country X is most spam(mer)-friendly.

Best wishes,

Roy
-- 
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