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[News] Even Motley Fool (Pro-Microsof Bias) Loses Confidence in MSFT

Date Yahoo!, Marry Google, Kill Microsoft

,----[ Quote ]
| Death to Mr. Softy? I'm afraid so. Google and Yahoo! are carving out
| thick margins in paid search, yet Microsoft is actually losing money
| in its online services. It is also in the red in its Zune/Xbox
| gadgetry businesses.
| 
| Microsoft is all about software, but where is the mad rush to
| upgrade to Vista and Office 2007? I know Inside Value subscribers
| will disagree with me. The stock is a newsletter pick. It's a
| cash-rich money tree. But with the company in the red beyond its
| software stronghold, is this really the safest of blue chips?
| 
| Vista should open up new doors; it finds Microsoft poking its head
| into new areas like PC security and accounting software. But is
| Microsoft's door closing where it matters the most? Google is
| teaming up with Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: SUNW) to promote free,
| Web-based productivity software. The popularity of open-source
| solutions will be a bigger threat in a wired world post-Vista.
`----

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2007/02/13/date-yahoo-marry-google-kill-microsoft.aspx?source=eptyholnk303100&logvisit=y&npu=y
http://tinyurl.com/yv3wlg


There are rare occasions when the site goes against what is probably a main
sponsor.

5 Hated Stocks

,----[ Quote ]
| Hard times for Mr. Softy
| 
| Isn't it funny how both Microsoft and Google -- mortal enemies at this
| point -- are both widely unloved? Microsoft has been dogged more by
| slowing growth concerns than valuation issues...
| 
| Will its new operating system get it back on track? Bears seem to think
| it may not be enough. They see the world's leading software maker's
| popularity waning as companies like Google and Sun Microsystems move
| applications online. Even if Linux hasn't made much of a dent as an
| open source alternative to Windows in the PC space yet, it has left a mark
| in other areas, and I wouldn't undersell the potential of a crafty
| company like Red Hat to further monetize the platform.
`----

http://www.fool.com/news/commentary/2006/commentary06091910.htm?source=eptyholnk303100&logvisit=y&npu=y
http://tinyurl.com/k59z3


Turning "Dead Money" Into Gold

,----[ Quote ]
| Dead money? Isn't a new computer upgrade cycle on the horizon with
| Microsoft's impending release of its next-generation operating system
| for PCs, Windows Vista? Not to mention Office 2007 and Windows Server
| (codenamed Longhorn)? Yes. Did I forget about Microsoft's very promising
| Web 2.0 and .NET platform initiatives? Or about its recent decision to
| buy back 155 million shares from investors via a Dutch self-tender offer
| for $24.75 each?
| 
| Investors punish Microsoft
| 
| No. Despite these things, I still feel that Microsoft is dead money over
| the next four or so months because of residual investor ill-will 
| surrounding the company's disastrous first-quarter earnings report back in 
| late April.
| 
| As you may recall, Microsoft dropped a bombshell on the investment
| community when it revealed its plans to spend an additional -- and
| unexpected -- $2 billion on vague advertising-related Internet initiatives
| in its fiscal 2007. The revelation meant the Street's margin and
| earnings estimates for next year were too high.
| 
| This was on top of the company's earlier revelation that its Windows
| Vista operating system launch would be delayed from November 2006 to
| January 2007, thus missing the crucial Christmas selling season. The badn
| ews was too much for investors.
| 
| The stock tanked 11.3% in a single day, the largest one-day percentage
| drop in at least five years. The stock has meandered since then and
| hasn't been helped by the recent prediction of the Gartner research firmt
| hat the Vista release will be delayed even past January into the second
| quarter of 2007.
| 
| Microsoft is still dead money
| 
| Simply put, this stock ain't going anywhere. The company's $14 billion to
| $15 billion in sustainable annual free cash flow, its 20% annual earnings
| growth, and its 20 P/E ratio arguably provides a solid price floor below
| the stock at right around its current price of $27, but the product delays
| and uncertainty over the cost-effectiveness of the company's massive
| new spending plans means it probably won't go up much, either.
| 
| Buying the stock now is, in my humble opinion, not an option (pun
| intended).
`----

http://biz.yahoo.com/fool/060914/115826023513.html?.v=3

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