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Re: It will take 100 Years for a linux desktop

  • Subject: Re: It will take 100 Years for a linux desktop
  • From: Virgil <virgil@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Sun, 28 Jan 2007 15:33:20 -0700
  • Newsgroups: comp.os.linux.advocacy, sci.math
  • References: <m1hcuan666.fsf@yahoo.com>
  • User-agent: MT-NewsWatcher/3.4 (PPC Mac OS X)
  • Xref: ellandroad.demon.co.uk comp.os.linux.advocacy:486931
In article <m1hcuan666.fsf@xxxxxxxxx>,
 Mike Cox <mikecoxlinux@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:

> On Jan 28, 1:30 pm, Roy Schestowitz <newsgro...@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> wrote:
> > __/ [ Mike Cox ] on Sunday 28 January 2007 20:48 \__
> > 
> > > Last year the desktop linux market share was at 2%.  Two years ago
> > > it
> > > was at 1%.  If linux increases it's market share by one
> > > point per year, we should expect Linux to be the dominant desktop
> > > OS
> > > in about 100 years assuming the current growth rate.  Linus
> > > Torvalds
> > > will be 138 years old when that
> > > happens.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_growth
> > 
> > "In mathematics, eXPonential growth (or geometric growth) occurs
> > when the
> > growth rate of a function is always proportional to the function's
> > current
> > size."
> > 
> > *plonk*
> 
> Wishfull thinking, or do you really think a  market share increase
> that is only 1 point greater than the year before follows an
> exponential growth rate? Maybe our friends at sci.math can help you
> with your mathematics..

If one looks at it has having doubled its market share in only one year, 
the implication is quite different!

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