Op Mon, 04 Jun 2007 13:03:07 -0400, schreef Dr. Pain:
>
> "Roy Schestowitz" <newsgroups@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
> news:1570083.iAknrcEKNF@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>> __/ [ Richard Rasker ] on Monday 04 June 2007 13:44 \__
>>
>>>
>>> There's a lot of jeering from wintrolls that Vista's marketshare
>>> continues
>>> to rise, in spite of the fact that it's not exactly everyone's favourite,
>>> according to even the most optimistic surveys.
>>>
>>> So, howcome Vista reached almost 4% market share in 4 months time? And,
>>> more importantly, is this an indication that Vista is really popular? The
>>> answer is amazingly simple: no, Vista is not popular at all, but there's
>>> simply nothing else on sale; going shopping for a new Windows PC means
>>> coming home with Vista in an estimated 90% of cases.
>>>
>>> Assuming that a Windows PC on average gets replaced after 4 years, every
>>> year, 25% of Windows PC's are replaced with new Windows PC's - say 2% per
>>> month.
>>>
>>> So based on this calculation, one would expect a Vista adoption rate of
>>> approximately two percent per month - which would mean that now, after
>>> being on sale for four months, Vista should have a market share of eight
>>> percent at least - and perhaps even nine or ten percent when taking an
>>> initial sales boost into account.
>>>
>>> The reality is quite different: the initial sales boost trumpeted by
>>> Microsoft mainly seems to consist of channel stuffing. And even with
>>> Vista
>>> now force-fed to buyers of new computers, the adoption rate is not even
>>> one percent per month - less than half the natural PC replacement rate,
>>> and there are no signs of Vista adoption speeding up yet.
>>>
>>> The explanation can only be that Vista isn't half as popular as those
>>> liar^H^H^H^Hmarketeers from Redmond and the wintrolls here want us to
>>> believe.
>>>
>>> So what is really going on? Most signs point into the direction of people
>>> putting off buying a Vista machine for the near future at least; this is
>>> also what I hear from the sales channels: they won't recommend Vista
>>> wholeheartedly, not unless most of the current problems are ironed out.
>>> And if this is already the case with consumers, businesses are far more
>>> wary and conservative. Most companies have a wait-and-see policy with
>>> regard to Vista, with the "wait" part being at least a year.
>>>
>>> Then, no doubt, quite a number of people won't buy a new Windows computer
>>> any more, and switch to a Mac or to Linux - I alone got five new Linux
>>> users who ditched Windows because they weren't impressed by Vista
>>> whatsoever.
>>>
>>>
>>> This was advanced Microsoft math class for today; back to the wintrolls
>>> who no doubt can cook up an explanation why 1% market share increase per
>>> month is a fantastic figure.
>>
>> Lies, damn lies and statisitics. ComputerWorld debunks and address a lot
>> of
>> these lies.
>>
>> Nine burning questions about how Vista is really doing
>>
>> ,----[ Quote ]
>> | Instead, there's so much spin -- from Microsoft, from rivals such
>> | as Apple Inc., from market analysts pushing research and more research
>> | -- it would even leave Sasha Cohen dizzy. Here's our attempt to unravel
>> | this puzzle-shrinkwrapped-in-a-mystery.
>> `----
>>
>> http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=9021838
>> http://tinyurl.com/2u6gzq
>>
>
>
>
> This really clears things up. From the article -
>
> Microsoft is clearly shipping more operating systems this time around. That
> translates to higher sales and profits. Microsoft's operating system revenue
> between October 2006 and the end of March this year -- the quarter when it
> began shipping Vista and pre-selling it to consumers, and the quarter of its
> official release -- was $7.86 billion. That is 72% higher than its revenue
> in the same quarters around XP's launch, $4.57 billion.
And that wouldn't be because Vista is about twice as expensive as XP?
> (Ricky Raskers claim of channel stuffing is some sort of stuffing that he
> pulled out of his ass.)
Ah, the trolls are out in force, attacking the person, not the content.
A sure sign of desperation - and I regard it as a compliment, as I must be
doing something right :-)
Richard Rasker
--
Linetec Translation and Technology Services
http://www.linetec.nl/
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