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[News] Another Microsoft-oriented Analyst (NPD) Predicts Nintendo Will Beat Microsoft

Nintendo Wii Expected to Outsell Xbox 360 and Playstation 3

,----[ Quotye ]
| Wii Expected to Be Market Leader in New Generation of Video Game Consoles
`----

http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/165677/nintendo_wii_expected_to_outsell_xbox.html

This comes from a firm that's typically employed by Microsoft. I am appending
two recent posts which show how Microsoft /buys/ studies rather than earns
its wins. Also, despite the fact that money flows from Microsoft, the
reality sometimes comes to light. At the end I put another couple of studies
from Microsoft, both of which were rubbished.



==== Post 1 ====

Tussle ahead, but Wii will come out on top says IDC

,----[ Quote ]
| Market analysts International Data Corporation (IDC) have come out with
| their take on the gaming console market.  Will the Microsoft Xbox 360,
| Sony PlayStation 3 or Nintendo Wii claim the dominance that the PS2
| has enjoyed for five years?
`----

http://www.itwire.com.au/content/view/10107/1092/

I have collected some links to show you that IDC is just following orders of
wealthy companies (notably Microsoft) and delivers biased results, which are
often incomplete, _by design_.


IDC - general background...

IDC Study:

,----[ Quotes with annotation ]
| "(Microsoft manager:) I don't like the fact that the report show us losing
| on TCO on webservers. I don't like the fact that the report show us losing
| on availability (windows was down more than linux). And I don't like the
| fact that the reports says nothing new is coming with windows .net server."
|
| [...]
|
| "I don't like it to be public on the doc that we sponsored it because I
| don't think the outcome is as favorable as we had hoped. I just don't like
| competitors using it as ammo against us. It is easier if it doesn't mention
| that we sponsored it."
`----

http://www.iowaconsumercase.org/011607/9000/PX09695.pdf


Vista filip for US states, claims IDC

,----[ Quote ]
| While reviewers debate the merits of Windows Vista and analysts puzzle the 
| over the pace of adoption, IDC and Microsoft are in little doubt over its 
| impact for the economies of America's 50 states.
| 
| To date, IDC has estimated Windows Vista will create 37,000 new jobs and 
| generate $15.5bn in related products and services across just four US 
| states.
`----

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/01/24/microsoft_windows_vista_idc/


IDC pronounces Linux unimportant to European economy (in
Microsoft-commissioned study)

,----[ Quote ]
| A recent IDC white paper on the economic impact of Microsoft's super
| soaraway new Vista operating system seems to be lacking one crucial
| ingredient -- other operating systems.
`----

http://www.theinquirer.net/default.aspx?article=34542 


NY Times bans Microsoft analysts from Microsoft stories

,----[ Quote ]
| Part of the problem stems from the reticence of companies such as
| IDC and Gartner to reveal their clients. That should make everyone
| nervous, but it doesn't. So called objective technology publications
| keep publishing material bought by vendors without telling you this.
| They're also too lazy or scared to ignore the likes of Gartner and
| IDC until the firms change their disclosure rules.
`----

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/12/15/nytimes_ms_ban/


IDC report on Open Document Standards

,----[ Quote ]
| This study is a fact-based analysis of the emerging open document
| standards, Open XML and ODF.
`----

http://openxmldeveloper.org/archive/2006/11/27/IDC_Open_Document_Standards.aspx


Vista launch to add 100,000 Europe IT jobs: study

,----[ Quote ]
| The study, conducted by research firm IDC and commissioned by Microsoft,
| said Windows Vista will be installed on over 30 million personal computers
| in Denmark, France, Germany, Poland, Spain and United Kingdom within the
| first year of shipment.
`----

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20060914/tc_nm/microsoft_study_dc


Okay... here's a note of interest... but using NPD, which is another analyst
Pwned by Microsoft (Gartner has links too). As far as I know, all the above
links refer to IDC 'studies'.

Vista: better than expected

,----[ Quote ]
| But wait! The NPD Group? Isn't it that market research firm which
| spotted the opportunities offered by the corporate movie and music
| companies from afar and almost overnight became an expert on p2p
| file sharing with, "highly questionable statistics blatantly
| slanted towards the entertainment cartels?"
`----

http://p2pnet.net/story/10999


Early Vista Sales Don't Tell the Whole Story

,----[ Quote ]
| To be clear: The missing information is to be expected, and I don't
| mean to reflect poorly on Swenson or NPD. Research firms aren't in
| the business of giving away information to the news media, but
| selling it to clients. The information provided to the press
| should be incomplete.
`----

http://www.microsoft-watch.com/content/vista/early_vista_sales_dont_tell_the_whole_story.html




==== Post 2 ====

More 'studies' and 'analysts'...

Zune doesn't shake iPod's market lead
     ^^^^^^^

,----[ Quote ]
| 'All in all, that's a pretty good performance,'' said Stephen Baker,
| an analyst with Reston, Va.-based NPD.
|                                   ^^^
`----

http://www.twincities.com/mld/twincities/business/technology/16263552.htm

Zune does a bit better than expected 

,----[ Quote ]
| Despite getting a hammering in the tech press, Microsoft's Zune has
| had respectable sales last month according to data from market
| research firm NPD Group.
|               ^^^
`----

http://www.theinquirer.net/default.aspx?article=36443

So, while every publication speaks about these sales as a disaster (see
bottom), NPD seems bullish. Who are these NPD?

Microsoft's Xbox 360 US sales-NPD story withdrawn
                              ^^^

,----[ Quote ]
| The Los Angeles story headlined "Microsoft's Xbox 360 US sales
| top first Xbox--NPD" is withdrawn because the data supporting the
|                 ^^^
| story may be inaccurate. Reuters is waiting for an update from the
| company. A new story may be issued.
`---- 

http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/articlehybrid.aspx?storyID=urn:newsml:reuters.com:20061208:MTFH45656_2006-12-08_01-12-52_N07221320&type=comktNews&rpc=44


I recall this one clearly. NPD published Microsoft's overly optimistic
predictions as though they were facts. This appeared in some major sites
before vanishing.


Microsoft Xbox to Join the Battle for Video Downloading

,----[ Quote ]
| Editors' Note: November 10, 2006, Friday An article in Business Day
| on Tuesday described a decision by Microsoft to offer movies and
| episodes of television shows for downloading through its Xbox Live
| online service in the United States.
| 
| The article quoted Rob Enderle, principal analyst at the Enderle
| Group, discussing the features that set Xbox Live service apart
| and its position in the market.
| 
| But the article did not note that Mr. Enderle had Microsoft as a client,
| a fact later pointed out by a reader. Mr. Enderle does consulting work
| for several of Microsoft's product groups, though not for the one
| developing the Xbox; still, had The Times known of Mr. Enderle's work
| for Microsoft, it would not have sought out his opinion on the product. 
`----

http://select.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=F50713F83A5B0C748CDDA80994DE404482
http://tinyurl.com/y3avsv


This is getting interesting...

NY Times bans Microsoft analysts from Microsoft stories

,----[ Quote ]
| The New York Times continues to perplex with its analyst- quoting
| policy. Rather than having analysts declare their ties to clients,
| the paper would prefer to quote analysts that have no experience
| with a client - a protocol which seems to undermine the very point
| of citing analysts.
| 
| The Register this week started pushing the Times to explain its
| quoting stance after noticing that Rob Enderle - the most quoted
| technology analyst on the planet - had been blocked from commenting
| on companies with which he has a financial relationship. The ban
| against Enderle appeared odd, given that Times reporters continue
| to cite analysts from larger firms who also have financial
| relationships with the companies discussed.
| 
| [...]
| 
| Just days after banning Enderle from discussing Microsoft because
| he has Microsoft as a client, the Times quoted Gartner analyst
| Michael Silver and AMR Research analyst Jim Murphy in a story
| about Microsoft's Windows and Office software.
| 
| If the paper would prefer not to quote an analyst who has
| experience with a client, it did a poor job. Silver is Gartner's
| vice president in charge of client computing. Microsoft happens to
| do lots of business with Gartner and also happens to have a
| client-software monopoly. We're guessing that Silver knows
| Microsoft's products well and has direct involvement with the
| company.
| 
| And, sure enough, he appears a number of times on Microsoft's
| own site and thousands of times in stories about Microsoft.
| 
| Jim Murphy - wait for it - covers Microsoft too and is even more
| prolific than Silver.
| 
| [...]
| 
| Part of the problem stems from the reticence of companies such as
| IDC and Gartner to reveal their clients. That should make everyone
| nervous, but it doesn't. So called objective technology publications
| keep publishing material bought by vendors without telling you this.
| They're also too lazy or scared to ignore the likes of Gartner and
| IDC until the firms change their disclosure rules.
| 
| As it turns out, there's a cottage industry devoted to Rob
| Enderle, where Linux zealots fire off this form letter to editors
| whenever Enderle appears talking about Microsoft. Perhaps the Linux
| crowd could put its fabled collective mind toward creating letters
| for all the major analysts. Lord knows, the Times could use
| some help.
`----

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/12/15/nytimes_ms_ban/


Shill season

,----[ Quote ]
| It's often difficult to figure out the motivation behind a particular
| study - until one finds out who has commissioned and paid for it.
| The so-called tech consulting companies would love it if the consumer
| believes that they have conducted an "independent" study. The worrying
| thing is that not many people blow their cover.
`----

http://www.itwire.com.au/content/view/8109/1090/


Corporate Propaganda Still On the News: Study Finds Local Stations
Overwhelmingly Fail to Disclose VNRs

,----[ Quote ]
| A new study by the Center for Media and Democracy says Americans are
| still being shown corporate public relations videos disguised as news
| reports on newscasts across the country.
`----

http://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=06/11/14/1518200


Microsoft hires InfoWorld hack

,----[ Quote ]
| Of course, Udell is far from being the first journalist to sign on
| for Big Green. In fact, Microsoft UK made a series of hires in
| 1996 from the BBC and elsewhere when it populated its MSN site
| with original news and other content.
`----

http://www.theinquirer.net/default.aspx?article=36256 


Wrong Yesterday Wrong Today Wrong Tomorrow

,----[ Quote ]
| I just got through watching a segment on the Today Show on NBC
| highlighting the launch of the Microsoft Zune.
| 
| First of all, I thought journalists were suppose to reveal their
| affiliations with any product if such an affiliation exists.
| Microsoft owns a stake in NBC ie MSNBC News Network.
| 
| [...]
| 
| Second, all the side by side product comparisons showed 4th Gen iPods
| with monochrome screens with no song selected or playing, while the
| Zune was playing a video.
| 
| [...]
| 
| This isn't the first time NBC has misled its morning viewers with
| puff pieces about the Zune.
`----

http://fixyourthinking.com/2006/11/wrong-yesterday-wrong-today-wrong.html


Bill Gates lends cash to buy newspapers

$350 million to MediaNews

,----[ Quote ]
| Gates involvement has been very behind the scenes. In fact many of
| those involved in the deal didn'teven know he was one of the investors.
| It was carried out through the Gates Foundation, the world's largest
| philanthropy outfit.
`----

http://www.theinquirer.net/default.aspx?article=33849


Should MSNBC really be "reviewing" (Microsoft's) Gears of War?

,----[ Quote ]
| MSNBC recently reviewed Gears of War, calling it the Xbox 360's first
| killer app.... Nowhere on the page is any indication of the possible
| ethical issue MSNBC is "Microsoft-NBC", and the site is hosted as a 
| subdomain of msn.com (a major Microsoft portal). Is this really balanced 
| journalism?
`----

http://www.thisisby.us/index.php/content/should_msnbc_really_be__quot_reviewing_quot__gears_of_war_


IDC pronounces Linux unimportant to European economy 

,----[ Quote ]
| A recent IDC white paper on the economic impact of Microsoft's super
| soaraway new Vista operating system seems to be lacking one crucial
| ingredient -- other operating systems.
`----

http://www.theinquirer.net/default.aspx?article=34542


So, Microsoft still buys 'analysts' and 'studies'. Some more truthful facts:

At Least Microsoft Still Has Vista.....

,----[ Quote ]
| Ad spending is up, people can't find other Zune users, and the device
| itself has now fallen out of the top ten all the way to spot #65 on 
| Amazon's top sellers list of electronics.
`----

http://biz.yahoo.com/seekingalpha/061214/22449_id.html?.v=1



=== A few more ===

Phishing for Trouble

,----[ Quote ]
| Since the study, performed by 3Sharp, was commissioned by Microsoft, it
|                                           ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
| might not be surprising that IE 7's anti-phishing controls did the best.
`----

http://www.microsoft-watch.com/article2/0,1995,2023207,00.asp?kc=MWRSS02129TX1K0000535


Microsoft Claims Vista's Aero Interface Doesn't Slow PCs

,----[ Quote ]
| Principled Technologies, which conducted the research for Microsoft, is
|                                              ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
| offering a download of the report.
`----

http://www.informationweek.com/news/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=196800080


Independent research has shown both of the above to be false.

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