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Re: John Dvorak Concedes 2007 was a "Crappy Year" for Windows Enthusiasts

Mark Kent <mark.kent@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> 
> We're well past the tipping point for linux now.  All we need to do is
> wait.

Agreed, if you define 'tipping point' as the point at which a trend
becomes irreversible, we are well past it.  The visible numbers on the
desktop are still small, but undeniably trending upward.  Even the
more controversial low-ball web stats show this.  They likely
undercount the presence of desktop Linux because it is currently
being deployed as an engineering workstation more often than the
typical consumer web surfing station, but web stats show the growth
is happening in the consumer space also.

The really interesting numbers are coming from the repository
servers and the like.  They give us counts of active, unique
systems in the tens of millions, and that is not even counting
those that are not updating or updating from caching proxies.
There is likely some bluring between the server and desktop
in those numbers, but just looking at Ubuntu, the current leading
desktop oriented distro, we have more than 12 million systems 
downloading updates.  Given global PC deployment estimates of
about 1.1 billion, that puts just the Ubuntu share of the desktop
at around 1%... so web estimates that put all of Linux around 0.5
are almost certainly bunk.

> 
> Apple's hardware is, in the main, very good quality, and their products
> overall tend to be well engineered, and typically do "what they say on
> the tin".  We've a dual-PPC mac and a mac mini here, and I had a really
> old colour mac which recently had to be disposed of due to water damage,
> all of which are well-built and well-conceived devices.

We've a couple of Macs here also, an older tower and a Mac mini,
both used mainly for video/audio editing.  They might get less
use as Ubuntu Studio matures.
 
Thad
-- 
Yeah, I drank the Open Source cool-aid... Unlike the other brand, it had
all the ingredients on the label.

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