e’ll soon know who replaces Burnham for Manchester

“Five candidates have now been eliminated from the contest,” as reported, “Geraldine Coggins (Green Party), Phil Eckersley (Conservative Party), Marcus Farmer (Independent), Richard Kilpatrick (Liberal Democrats) and Marlon West (Restore Britain).”

Results likely out soon: “The way that it’s going to work is that for anybody who didn’t vote for Sian Astley or Bev Craig as their first choice, counters will now start looking at who they put as their second choice and those votes will be reallocated. It means that both candidates may pick up some more votes as second preferences.”

Percentage turnout: less than 25%

Very low.

can see election information, but results aren’t known yet, not even preliminary estimates (no “exit polls”).

It does look like gravity is being shifted away from London:

omorrow is the day to vote here. There is some certain lack of excitement and door-knocking political hacks aren’t coming around this week. Even the spam seems to have been reduced somewhat?

Have LibDem run out of (or low on) spam budget? They’re always good at talking a lot, but not actually doing anything. Maybe they recognise they no longer stand a chance of winning in this area.

can now say, as it is public information, that tomorrow morning a judgment will be issued.

understand that tomorrow there will be a decision issued by the High Court pertaining to a 2025 case which involves me. I will get a chance to write about it some time tomorrow or later this week.

T seems like after some feedback Daniel has made it easier to assess what he stands for.

aniel Pocock is not British, but he is running as if he is British while he is Irish, Swiss, and Australian. Can he succeed? His platform is out of the ordinary, so he can at least stand out and get noticed.

“Apropos Daniel’s run for office,” a friend has told me, “there is the problem of “split ballots” If there are many similar candidates, and one outlier, the pool of voters which are similar spread their votes over the pool of similar candidates. Thus none of them get enough to take the lead. However, the outlier collects as a single candidate all the dissimilar votes and thus ends up taking the lead. That is precisely how Michael Moore ended up in public office a long time ago. The opposition then fielded a lot of candidddates and thus spread their vote pool so thinly that they all lost and an unknown won. Similarly in 2006 during the Eurovision Song contest, there were a lot of similar sounding songs of the same genre which gained a wide spread of votes, none taking a lead. However, there was a single metal contestant and he collected all the metal votes, which turned out to be more than any single other contestant. So I ask where on the political spectrums do the 34 candidates in Daniel’s race lie? If they are similar to him politically, then those backing Farage are trying to water down Daniel’s message. Either way, I wish him both luck and visibility.”

Let’s see how he gets on.