AM glad to say that, according to WHO, it’s all over. Months ago it declared the “end” of the pandemic. But according to this morning’s data from ONS, which is complete data (not just a sub-sample), a lot of Brits are dying.

Here are 2015-2019 deaths:

Compare to this year’s latest on record (analogous weeks):

So from 9.4k a week we went up to 10.7k. All this in just 4 years. 14% increase. Perfectly normal…

‘ve just gotten the latest numbers from ONS. About 10 minutes ago ONS released Week 22 numbers for 2023 (15 minutes ago an updated file wasn’t there yet).

Notice how this year compares to last year or prior years. 29.5% higher.

Back to work, folks Pandemic is over, according to WHO.

Today in Gemini:

So, some quick advice: Don’t get COVID.

I went back to Seattle in the beginning of March, wore a mask the whole time (my partner did not. I think this is important). We got to drop in on Emerald City Comic Con, which was well missed, and I was so happy to be there, and also just walk around the city again. I miss walking around cities.

My partner was sick by the time we were done at ECCC (they did wear a mask there, as we do for conventions). By the time we got home, I had cold-like symptoms. That Tuesday I was fully sick with it.

[...]

Anyway, three months out, I still have a little bit of a cough, and my brain fog has mostly cleared up. I truly believe it could have been so much worse, if I had not gotten vaccines.

New data released by ONS this morning.

Let’s compare pre-pandemic years:

To this year:

14% higher than before the pandemic.

Week 20 2022-2023 deaths:

Week 20 2019 (and past 5 years) deaths:

‘VE just taken a snapshot of the figures posted about an hour ago, showing that from 10059 deaths in week 17 of 2019 (before COVID-19 broke out) we rose to 12152, or an increase of 2093 deaths for the week. That’s an increase of 21%. Health emergency, right? Just don’t ask our government for comment… they’d rather not discuss this or investigate the cause/s.

New: Excess deaths in UK rise

Description, in case Google takes down his videos again:

Excess deaths, dramatic increase, week ending 21 April 2023

www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/births…

The number of deaths registered in the UK in the week ending 21 April 2023

(Week 16)

Was 14,024

22.1% above the five-year average

2,540 excess deaths,

of these deaths, 615 involved COVID-19

England and Wales

Week 16, 12,420 deaths were registered in England and Wales

538 of these deaths mentioned novel coronavirus (4.3% of all deaths)

Of the 538 deaths involving COVID-19, 66.5% (358 deaths) had this recorded as the underlying cause of death

The number of deaths was above the five-year average

Private homes (29.0% above, 771 excess deaths)

Hospitals (20.2% above, 924 excess deaths)

Care homes (25.3% above, 525 excess deaths)

Other settings (11.7% above, 92 excess deaths)

Could Bradford Hill criteria help?

The larger the association, the more likely that it is causal.

Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places

Lack of alternative explanations

The effect has to occur after the cause

Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect.

A plausible mechanism between cause and effect is helpful

Coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of an effect.

Occasionally it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence

Analogies or similarities between the observed association and any other associations.

Sometimes, reversibility

CHECKED about 1.5 hours ago to see if the 10 May 2023 ONS numbers were already online. They were indeed, maybe around 9:30AM.

What does the latest data tell us? Compare 2019 deaths count:

Now watch this year:

Focus on week 17, the latest on record. From 10,059 deaths in 2019 it rose to about 12.2k in the same week of this year, yet WHO tells us pandemic stuff matters no more and it’s time to get back to “normal”. Don’t listen to WHO. Rely on data, not bureaucrats and politicians who masquerade as health experts.