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Excess deaths, different countries and different age groups

https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/health/causes-death/provisional-mortality-statistics/latest-release

In 2022

144,650 deaths that occurred by 30 September

(and were registered by 30 November),

which is 19,986 (16.0%) more than the historical average

(compared to 2015-2019)

Same period

8,160 deaths due to COVID-19 that were certified by a doctor

Non covid excess deaths
= 11,826

Week ending 30 December 2022 (Week 52)

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/latest

9,517 deaths were registered in England and Wales

(393 mentioned “novel coronavirus, COVID-19)

The number of deaths was above the five-year average

Private homes, 36.9% above, (684 excess deaths)

Hospitals, 14.8% above, (537 excess deaths)

Care homes 20.4% above, (371 excess deaths)

Other settings 0.2% above, (1 excess death)

Total excess deaths, week 52 = 1,593

Percentage change compared to 5-year average (2016 to 2019 and 2021) for week 52

20.1%

Week ending 23rd December England and Wales, (week 51)

All-cause deaths registered 14,530

(COVID-19 accounted for 429, 3.0%)

Number of deaths was above the five-year average

Private homes (37.5% above, 1,120 excess deaths)

Hospitals (18.8% above, 1,031 excess deaths)

Care homes (10.5% above; 282 excess deaths)

Other settings (7.0% above, 61 excess deaths) in Week 51 in England and Wales.

Total excess deaths, week 51 = 2,492

Excess deaths in all UK age groups

https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYmUwNmFhMjYtNGZhYS00NDk2LWFlMTAtOTg0OGNhNmFiNGM0IiwidCI6ImVlNGUxNDk5LTRhMzUtNGIyZS1hZDQ3LTVmM2NmOWRlODY2NiIsImMiOjh9

Data goes up to 18th November 2022

Investigating cause of excess deaths

In 1965, English statistician Sir Austin Bradford Hill

Causal relationships

Strength

The larger the association, the more likely that it is causal

Consistency, (reproducibility)

Consistent findings, different persons in different places

Specificity

No other likely explanation

Temporality

The effect has to occur after the cause (often with a delay)

Biological gradient, (dose response relationship)

Greater exposure should lead to greater incidence of the effect

(or indeed lower incident of effect)

Plausibility

A plausible mechanism between cause and effect

Coherence

Between epidemiological and laboratory findings

Experiment

Occasionally it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence

Analogy

Analogies or similarities between the observed association and any other associations

Reversibility

May work if there is no permanent damage

Very sharp increase in total deaths just 3 years later. Where’s the government investigation?

2022

2019:

With numbers like these, only the gullible and deeply misinformed would think the pandemic is “over”.

Via this new video:

So there seems to be a ‘pandemic of heart conditions’ now.

Yesterday: ONS: England and Wales Deaths in Week 51 (Xmas) Rose From 11.5K Before Pandemic to 14.5K in 2022 (26.4% Increase)

Delayed again. After several weeks of nothing… still nothing.

“Today’s update is delayed. The estimated release time is 5.00pm.”

The deaths are very high despite incomplete data.

Well, SKY ‘NEWS’ said one hour ago that there’s a fall in flu and COVID cases. But deaths are up sharply across the UK. The mainstream media seems to be actively lying to people in order to impose optimism on the peasantry.

The risk of death remains high, not just for old people.

UPDATE

So the data is now belatedly out… but it’s missing data:

At this stage it’s no longer possible to even trust our government’s count of how many people are dying.

Their numbers are not reliable anymore, but here’s the data for week 51 (two weeks ago):

Compared to pre-pandemic levels:

Xmas deaths, average for 2014-19: 11.5k
For 2022: 14.5k

But don’t worry, that’s just about 3,000 more dead people than before…. in one week! And nobody will notice, merry Xmas everyone!!

That’s 26.4% increase in deaths, but they tell us to quit worrying about the COVID-19 pandemic, side effects of vaccines (dare to suggest any exist and they’ll call you “antivaxer”), and the NHS crisis in general.

Data as OpenDocument Format

ack in October I looked at the data from Ireland for the first quarter of each year, focusing on total number of deaths, irrespective of cause and age.

We now have data for the second quarter (Q2) of this year.

Total number of deaths in second quarter (Q2), by year:

Q2 2019: 7519
Q2 2020: 8582
Q2 2021: 6700
Q2 2022: 9326

Yellow card scheme, Don’t wait for someone else to report it

www.gov.uk/drug-safety-update/yellow-card-please-h…

It is estimated that only 10% of serious reactions and between 2 and 4% of non-serious reactions are reported.

Yellow card government site, just a click away

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-vaccine-adverse-reactions/coronavirus-vaccine-summary-of-yellow-card-reporting

As of 23 November 2022, (UK)

Pfizer/BioNTech, monovalent and bivalent

177,925 Yellow Cards have been reported

AstraZeneca

246,866 have been reported

Moderna, monovalent and bivalent

47,045 have been reported

Novavax

52 reports

Brand of vaccine was not specified

2,130 reports

Total reports

474,018

Overall reporting rate

Around 2 to 5 Yellow Cards per 1,000 doses administered

In the 28 days

Pfizer/BioNTech, + 2,499 reports

AstraZeneca, + 228

Moderna, + 1,099

Novavax, + 15

Brand not specified, + 154

For all COVID-19 vaccines

injection-site reactions (sore arm for example)

generalised symptoms such as ‘flu-like’ illness

headache, chills, fatigue (tiredness), nausea (feeling sick), fever, dizziness, weakness, aching muscles, rapid heartbeat

they may be reported more frequently in younger adults

Overall, our advice remains that the benefits of the vaccines outweigh the risks in the majority of people.

The benefits of the vaccines in preventing COVID-19 and serious complications associated with COVID-19 far outweigh any currently known side effects in the majority of patients.

https://wchh.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/psb.1789

Google YT guidelines

https://support.google.com/youtube/answer/9891785

Claims that an approved COVID-19 vaccine will cause death, infertility, miscarriage, autism, or contraction of other infectious diseases

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/regulatory-approval-of-covid-19-vaccine-moderna/information-for-healthcare-professionals-on-covid-19-vaccine-moderna

4.4 Special warnings and precautions for use

Hypersensitivity and anaphylaxis
Anaphylaxis has been reported in individuals who have received Spikevax.

Close observation for at least 15 minutes is recommended following vaccination.

Myocarditis and pericarditis

There is an increased risk for myocarditis and pericarditis following vaccination with Spikevax.

Few days, primarily occurred within 14 days,

more often after the second dose,

more often in younger males

risk profile appears to be similar for the second and the third dose

Available data suggest that the course of myocarditis and pericarditis following vaccination is not different from myocarditis or pericarditis in general.

Healthcare professionals should be alert to the signs and symptoms of myocarditis and pericarditis.

Vaccinated individuals should be instructed to seek immediate medical attention if they develop symptoms indicative of myocarditis or pericarditis,

such as (acute or persisting) chest pain, shortness of breath or palpitations following vaccination.

Healthcare professionals should consult guidance and/or specialists to diagnose and treat this condition.

Who can get a COVID-19 vaccine

https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/coronavirus-vaccine/

Everyone aged 5 (on or before 31 August 2022) and over can get a 1st and 2nd dose of the COVID-19 vaccine.

People aged 16 and over, and some children aged 12 to 15, can also get a booster dose.
Hypertension after COVID-19 vaccination

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34985455/

Italian research