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Archive for the ‘Science’ Category

This Summer’s COVID-19 Hospital Admissions Almost Ten Times Worse (or Higher) Than 2 Summers Ago

Even judging by August, which wasn’t as bad as prior summer months

2022 (latest information to date, UK-wide)

(Date, number of COVID-19 hospital admissions)
25-08-2022 721
24-08-2022 713
23-08-2022 781
22-08-2022 739
21-08-2022 667
20-08-2022 640
19-08-2022 728
18-08-2022 770
17-08-2022 866
16-08-2022 909
15-08-2022 972
14-08-2022 838
13-08-2022 840
12-08-2022 867
11-08-2022 1,011
10-08-2022 1,122
09-08-2022 1,088
08-08-2022 1,081
07-08-2022 985
06-08-2022 850
05-08-2022 1,031
04-08-2022 1,130
03-08-2022 1,189
02-08-2022 1,206
01-08-2022 1,263

2020 (no lockdowns, just masks and some distance; gyms and pubs open)

(Date, number of COVID-19 hospital admissions)
24-08-2020 91
23-08-2020 74
22-08-2020 73
21-08-2020 109
20-08-2020 98
19-08-2020 113
18-08-2020 128
17-08-2020 95
16-08-2020 80
15-08-2020 99
14-08-2020 100
13-08-2020 129
12-08-2020 101
11-08-2020 114
10-08-2020 86
09-08-2020 106
08-08-2020 140
07-08-2020 117
06-08-2020 100
05-08-2020 138
04-08-2020 125
03-08-2020 110
02-08-2020 93
01-08-2020 128

Source: coronavirus.data.gov.uk

Update just published in the site this week:

Updates will move to Thursdays from 1 September 2022

From 1 September 2022, the COVID-19 Dashboard will move to reporting on Thursdays instead of Wednesdays. The last Wednesday update of the Dashboard was therefore on 31 August 2022. Updates will be published every Thursday at 4pm commencing on 8 September 2022.

Daily data up to the most recent available will continue to be added in each weekly update.

This will align the COVID-19 dashboard reporting with NHS England reporting of hospital statistics and with reporting on cases and deaths in Wales.

For more information, read the NHS England release.

For long-term preservation purposes, a screenshot:

Updates will move to Thursdays from 1 September 2022

Updates will move to Thursdays from 1 September 2022

The graphs in the “dashboard” compare week to week (rolling/sliding) rather than equivalent times of the year across years. That’s misleading and the media likes to do the same.

UK’s Coronavirus Deaths in August Almost 4 Times Higher Than Same Time 2 Years Ago (First Summer of COVID-19)

Today’s numbers (tally) are incomplete, but the latest data is from the 19th and it counts 205,600 deaths:

[Date followed by number of deaths]
19-08-2022 25
18-08-2022 31
17-08-2022 38
16-08-2022 50
15-08-2022 69
14-08-2022 74
13-08-2022 78
12-08-2022 88
11-08-2022 85
10-08-2022 66
09-08-2022 83
08-08-2022 88
07-08-2022 93
06-08-2022 62
05-08-2022 79
04-08-2022 77
03-08-2022 99
02-08-2022 97
01-08-2022 90

Total deaths: 1,282

Same days two years ago:

[Date followed by number of deaths]
19-08-2020 13
18-08-2020 15
17-08-2020 21
16-08-2020 15
15-08-2020 23
14-08-2020 18
13-08-2020 23
12-08-2020 24
11-08-2020 20
10-08-2020 25
09-08-2020 19
08-08-2020 22
07-08-2020 24
06-08-2020 21
05-08-2020 13
04-08-2020 27
03-08-2020 23
02-08-2020 17
01-08-2020 20

Total deaths: 363

‘My Dog Ate My Death Certificates’ (UK COVID-19-Linked Deaths at Almost 205,000 Based on Such Certificates)

Published 18 minutes ago:

covid-weekly-deaths

This data is almost two weeks out of date. So add another 1,000 deaths (or thereabouts). They also miss some deaths:

Deaths figures for England incomplete

Due to the bank holiday NHS England have not updated their deaths data. This means that the number of reported COVID-19 deaths in England is lower than expected on 31 August 2022. Any delay in reporting is expected to catch up next week.

Deaths figures for England incomplete

Plus:

Delay to update of weekly deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate

Because of a technical issue, weekly registered deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate have not been updated.

Figures will be added in a future release.

Delay to update of weekly deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate

One day these pages will be gone, hence the screenshots.

Excess Deaths in the UK This Summer Worst in Years

COVID-19 is already linked to about 205,000 deaths. That’s about 3 times less than an annual total (all causes considered, including old age):

Excess deaths in UK

3 summers compared:

Excess deaths in UK:  excess

And notice when our government ceased to issue the weekly reports on excess mortality:

July 7 mortality report

Did we defeat the virus? No. We stopped talking about it because the government told us to.

The Absurdity of UK Government’s COVID-19 Data Disclosures (Deaths 2-3 Times Higher, But Updates/Data Demoted From Daily to Weekly)

2021 number of deaths around that time:

15-07-2021 54
14-07-2021 47
13-07-2021 50
12-07-2021 43
11-07-2021 36
10-07-2021 45
09-07-2021 52
08-07-2021 42
07-07-2021 36
06-07-2021 35
05-07-2021 29
04-07-2021 29
03-07-2021 31
02-07-2021 32
01-07-2021 28

Government policy: you need more data on deaths.

Improved local authority allocation for deaths in England.

2022 number of deaths around that time:

15-07-2022 100
14-07-2022 118
13-07-2022 128
12-07-2022 145
11-07-2022 122
10-07-2022 114
09-07-2022 100
08-07-2022 101
07-07-2022 98
06-07-2022 108
05-07-2022 99
04-07-2022 85
03-07-2022 68
02-07-2022 85
01-07-2022 77

Government policy: you don’t need no stinkin’ updates.

Updates will be weekly after Friday 1st July 2022

UK Government Should Get Back to Releasing COVID-19 Data Every Day, Not (Barely) Every Week

The British software engineer Tim Berners-Lee explained why it’s important to put data on the Web. The NHS had moved away from that in recent months.

Tale of Three Summers of COVID-19 in the UK, as Told by Yesterday’s Official Numbers

COVID summers: Far better than this year

Week ending, followed by number of deaths, 2022

12-08-2022 674
05-08-2022 802
29-07-2022 923
22-07-2022 864
15-07-2022 696
08-07-2022 529
01-07-2022 412

Total deaths: 4,488

Week ending, followed by number of deaths, 2021

13-08-2021 652
06-08-2021 612
30-07-2021 468
23-07-2021 392
16-07-2021 268
RESTRICTIONS REMOVED (so-called ‘freedom day’; compare figures below to the ones above)
09-07-2021 217
02-07-2021 132

Total deaths: 2,606

Week ending, followed by number of deaths, 2020

14-08-2020 161
07-08-2020 176
31-07-2020 212
24-07-2020 243
17-07-2020 312
10-07-2020 406
03-07-2020 572

Total deaths: 1,510

So deaths this summer are basically treble what they were two summers ago (the breakout). Is that really much progress?

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