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Thursday, October 20th, 2022, 12:26 am

‘COVID Effect’: Almost 20% Increase in England and Wales Deaths in Latest Week’s Data From Office for National Statistics (ONS)

Comparing pre-COVID years to 2022 mortality levels

Some new numbers were published just over a day ago:

ONS report

To quote the summary: “In the week ending 7 October 2022 (Week 40), 11,207 deaths were registered in England and Wales; 400 of these deaths mentioned “novel coronavirus (COVID-19)”, accounting for 3.6% of all deaths.”

But how many of them were COVID survivors just ‘limping along’ and dying later without that counting as COVID-19 linked?

Further down it says: “The number of deaths registered in the UK in the week ending 7 October 2022 (Week 40) was 12,793, which was 13.7% above the five-year average (1,538 excess deaths); of these deaths, 449 involved COVID-19, which was 106 more than in Week 39.”

But this 5-year average includes 3 years of COVID-19 (this year, 2021, and 2020), so let’s go back in time and see pre-COVID death rates for this wee.

In 2019 week 40 had 9,799 deaths and the 5-year average was 9,450. See screenshot (we already uploaded the original report as ODF):

Deaths 2019 in England and Wales

11,207 – 9,450 = 1757.

So for this week alone, for England and Wales alone, we’re 1757 higher than the 5-year average of pre-COVID levels.

1757 is almost 19% of 9,450, so we’re taking about an increase of almost 20% of this week.

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