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An Emergent Pandemic of Sudden Deaths in the UK (People Dying at Home)

Sharp increase in sudden deaths e.g. heart failure

ONS has released this data, but it left out pertinent numbers for the past 5 years so we cannot compare pre-COVID-19 and pre-vaccination numbers to this year’s huge figures.

Remember that the 5-year average includes 3 years of pandemic and only 2 years pre-pandemic. This can be misleading, giving a false sense of progress.

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Deaths: Open Data as OpenDocument Format (ODF)

Coronavirus (COVID-19) latest insights: Deaths

It’s good that this data has been published, but the Office for National Statistics (ONS) foolishly or inadvertently (certain inadequately) favoured proprietary Microsoft formats instead of open standards. Here are the data sets in a free format:

  1. Deaths involving COVID-19 decreased in the UK
  2. The proportion of deaths involving COVID-19
  3. Mortality rates due to COVID-19
  4. Deaths by age
  5. Pre-existing health conditions
  6. And obesity as factor
  7. Excess deaths
  8. Private homes death location
  9. COVID-19 and flu deaths
  10. Evidence that average age of death is lower for COVID-19 than flu and pneumonia

ONS: More Than 1 in 50 People in England Estimated to be COVID-19 Positive This Month

And here is the graph plotted based on this new data:

% of population testing positive for COVID-19

Over 13,000 Registered Deaths in the UK Per Week in Autumn (We’re Still Losing Almost as Many People as When COVID-19 Started)

IT IS hard to find mortality rates (pre-COVID-19) for the whole of the UK. The closest thing to it is this FOIA/FOI request or this month’s data file, which shows:

UK deaths based on ONS

The number on the right is total deaths per week (2022).

Looking at the FOIA, here’s what it says: “Using the Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional, as at week 46 (13th November 2020) 529,928 registered deaths in England and Wales.”

For the year prior: “In 2019, there were 530,841 deaths registered in England and Wales.”

Screenshot below included, as the page will vanish one day:

ONS FOIA

So far, in the first 43 weeks of 2022, in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland combined there have been 536,196 deaths (I’ve put together the numbers).

We’re seeing about 13,000 deaths per week, so expect 40,000 more in the 3 weeks that follow, i.e. about 575,000 deaths.

In the above FOIA, ONS does not give the complete figures for the whole of the UK (those are hard to find, maybe by intention), but using this weekly update we get for England and Wales:

471,064. With 9 more weeks ahead (for the year to finish). 3 more weeks from now it’ll be about 502,000 compared to 529,928 at the same period in 2020.

wales-england-deaths

Extrapolate a little and find that in 2022 we’re not doing a lot better (than in 2020) in terms of preventing deaths.

Substantial Underestimate of the True Circulation of COVID-19

Description:

Covid deaths down 90% in 2022

https://www.who.int/director-general/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing—9-november-2022

https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/media-resources/press-briefings

Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus

9,400 covid linked deaths last week

Almost 90% less than in February of this year

(February 2022, 75,000 a week, globally)

We have come a long way, and this is definitely cause for optimism.

But we continue to call on all governments, communities and individuals to remain vigilant

Almost 10,000 deaths a week is 10,000 too many for a disease that can be prevented and treated

WHO continues to urge caution, and we continue to urge everyone to be fully vaccinated – including getting your next dose if it’s due.

https://www.who.int/westernpacific/emergencies/covid-19/information/transmission-protective-measures

Get all the recommended doses of COVID-19 vaccine
Keep a safe distance from others, especially in closed spaces
When indoors, open windows if possible
Wear a mask if you’re or those around you are at high risk of severe illness
Keep hands clean
Cover coughs and sneezes
Stay home when feeling unwel

Maria Van Kerkhove

substantial underestimate of the true circulation of the virus

still a pandemic, and it’s still circulating quite rampantly around the world
China, moves towards reality

https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/983898?src=wnl_edit_tpal&uac=127834AR&impID=4860881&faf=1

Shortening quarantine times, close contacts, inbound travellers

Seven days down to 5

Stop trying to identify “secondary” contacts

Looking incremental

National Health Commission (NHC)

Optimising and adjusting prevention and control measures

Not laying flat

10,535 new domestically transmitted cases for Thursday

ONS release, 2nd November 2022

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/bulletins/populationandhouseholdestimatesenglandandwales/census2021unroundeddata

On Census Day, 21 March 2021, the size of the usual resident population in England and Wales was 59,597,542

56,490,048 in England and 3,107,494 in Wales

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/patients-registered-at-a-gp-practice-november-2022

https://digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/patients-registered-at-a-gp-practice/november-2022

https://digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/publications/statistical/patients-registered-at-a-gp-practice/november-2022

So

Five and a half more people registered with a GP than the total population

We also know there are millions in England not registered with a GP

Professor Norman Fenton

https://twitter.com/profnfenton/status/1591155275272261632/photo/1

Latest Data Supplied by ONS, as OpenDocument Format (Not Microsoft’s Proprietary Formats)

Curious that this awful news was published exactly on memorial day.

Work crisis based on ONS
Work/labour crisis based on ONS (many people in working age are unable to work for health reasons; many more than usual die, too).

Just over a day ago ONS issued this report. It shows a health crisis. Tragic that ONS uses proprietary Microsoft formats as the sole option in some cases. Here is the net increase in people out of work due to sickness (those are not very old people). To quote: “More people are out of the labour market because of long-term sickness since the pandemic began, but long COVID is not the main factor” (so what is it?)

Mar-17 0 (baseline)
Apr-17 -12243
May-17 3062
Jun-17 -9687
Jul-17 15880
Aug-17 31964
Sep-17 63498
Oct-17 41252
Nov-17 -8983
Dec-17 5493
Jan-18 -4207
Feb-18 -7468
Mar-18 -14159
Apr-18 -5663
May-18 13248
Jun-18 51386
Jul-18 58023
Aug-18 40517
Sep-18 8515
Oct-18 -8724
Nov-18 476
Dec-18 15675
Jan-19 14694
Feb-19 -12721
Mar-19 10836
Apr-19 -20433
May-19 25155
Jun-19 40168
Jul-19 56703
Aug-19 77710
Sep-19 62523
Oct-19 80378
Nov-19 73738
Dec-19 83506
Jan-20 128347
Feb-20 120961
Mar-20 136072
Apr-20 157124
May-20 135137
Jun-20 131716
Jul-20 156974
Aug-20 185190
Sep-20 228936
Oct-20 226929
Nov-20 203011
Dec-20 241629
Jan-21 212563
Feb-21 188448
Mar-21 216830
Apr-21 205674
May-21 221870
Jun-21 190969
Jul-21 230382
Aug-21 270572
Sep-21 295908
Oct-21 303054
Nov-21 348557
Dec-21 335703
Jan-22 344846
Feb-22 358585
Mar-22 323858
Apr-22 346058
May-22 329616
Jun-22 394814
Jul-22 472972
Aug-22 498642

What has happened since then? It must have worsened a lot.

Seeing that all the data is in Microsoft formats (shame on ONS for outsourcing a lot to Microsoft, rewarding Microsoft for crimes), I’ve decided to convert it to ODF, as follows:

Almost 13,000 UK Deaths Per Week, Sickness Crisis That Corporate Media Doesn’t Talk About

Description:

Excess deaths AND long-term sickness dramatically increased in the UK

New Hope Children’s Centre

This is a great organisation I have been involved with for 12 years now. I fully attest to the veracity and dedication of all the staff I have met. The founder is Anne Chege, who my brother and I know well. Anne worked with Barclays Bank for 28 years, looking after orphans and abandoned children within her own home. On retirement she opened this centre and has dedicated her life to the work.

To contribute to this work,

https://www.buymeacoffee.com/newhopechi3

Zoe data

https://console.cloud.google.com/storage/browser/covid-public-data

Prevalence

One in 29

One in 40 (2.43%)

Since the end of June 2022, mostly Omicron variant BA.5

Antibodies, 95.8% of adults in England

ONS (11th November)

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19/latestinsights

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19latestinsights/deaths

Long COVID not main factor in long-term sickness increase

10 November 2022

Since the pandemic in the UK,

Number of people out of work because of long-term sickness has risen by around 363,000

The number of people on long-term sick

other health problems or disabilities,

between April and June 2022,

was 97,000 higher than the same period in 2019.

A 41% increase

UK covid deaths, week ending 28 October 2022

717 deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19) registered in the UK

Previous week, 737

Excess deaths in the UK, ending 28 October 2022

Deaths registered in the UK, 12,861

12.5% above the five-year average

(1,430 excess deaths).

Deaths involving COVID-19 accounted for 5.6% of all UK deaths

UK official data

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk

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Original styles created by Ian Main (all acknowledgements) • PHP scripts and styles later modified by Roy Schestowitz • Help yourself to a GPL'd copy
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