And here is the graph plotted based on this new data:

IT IS hard to find mortality rates (pre-COVID-19) for the whole of the UK. The closest thing to it is this FOIA/FOI request or this month’s data file, which shows:

The number on the right is total deaths per week (2022).

Looking at the FOIA, here’s what it says: “Using the Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional, as at week 46 (13th November 2020) 529,928 registered deaths in England and Wales.”

For the year prior: “In 2019, there were 530,841 deaths registered in England and Wales.”

Screenshot below included, as the page will vanish one day:

So far, in the first 43 weeks of 2022, in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland combined there have been 536,196 deaths (I’ve put together the numbers).

We’re seeing about 13,000 deaths per week, so expect 40,000 more in the 3 weeks that follow, i.e. about 575,000 deaths.

In the above FOIA, ONS does not give the complete figures for the whole of the UK (those are hard to find, maybe by intention), but using this weekly update we get for England and Wales:

471,064. With 9 more weeks ahead (for the year to finish). 3 more weeks from now it’ll be about 502,000 compared to 529,928 at the same period in 2020.

Extrapolate a little and find that in 2022 we’re not doing a lot better (than in 2020) in terms of preventing deaths.

Curious that this awful news was published exactly on memorial day.

Work/labour crisis based on ONS (many people in working age are unable to work for health reasons; many more than usual die, too).

Just over a day ago ONS issued this report. It shows a health crisis. Tragic that ONS uses proprietary Microsoft formats as the sole option in some cases. Here is the net increase in people out of work due to sickness (those are not very old people). To quote: “More people are out of the labour market because of long-term sickness since the pandemic began, but long COVID is not the main factor” (so what is it?)

Mar-17 0 (baseline)
Apr-17 -12243
May-17 3062
Jun-17 -9687
Jul-17 15880
Aug-17 31964
Sep-17 63498
Oct-17 41252
Nov-17 -8983
Dec-17 5493
Jan-18 -4207
Feb-18 -7468
Mar-18 -14159
Apr-18 -5663
May-18 13248
Jun-18 51386
Jul-18 58023
Aug-18 40517
Sep-18 8515
Oct-18 -8724
Nov-18 476
Dec-18 15675
Jan-19 14694
Feb-19 -12721
Mar-19 10836
Apr-19 -20433
May-19 25155
Jun-19 40168
Jul-19 56703
Aug-19 77710
Sep-19 62523
Oct-19 80378
Nov-19 73738
Dec-19 83506
Jan-20 128347
Feb-20 120961
Mar-20 136072
Apr-20 157124
May-20 135137
Jun-20 131716
Jul-20 156974
Aug-20 185190
Sep-20 228936
Oct-20 226929
Nov-20 203011
Dec-20 241629
Jan-21 212563
Feb-21 188448
Mar-21 216830
Apr-21 205674
May-21 221870
Jun-21 190969
Jul-21 230382
Aug-21 270572
Sep-21 295908
Oct-21 303054
Nov-21 348557
Dec-21 335703
Jan-22 344846
Feb-22 358585
Mar-22 323858
Apr-22 346058
May-22 329616
Jun-22 394814
Jul-22 472972
Aug-22 498642

What has happened since then? It must have worsened a lot.

Seeing that all the data is in Microsoft formats (shame on ONS for outsourcing a lot to Microsoft, rewarding Microsoft for crimes), I’ve decided to convert it to ODF, as follows:

• ONS on antibodies
• ONS on death totals
• ONS on health
• Survey
• COVID data
• long-term sickness

Description:

Official UK government debate

https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2022-10-24/debates/FF880636-BC3B-4BDB-A5E0-D6D4B82B2888/Covid-19VaccinesSafety

Official UK Government YouTube channel, the debate in full for those interested

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pfgGCgxGYkk

Sir Christopher Chope, MP for Christchurch

The new data:

Data pre-COVID/Wuhan virus:

Covid infection did not increase incidence of post-covid myocarditis or pericarditis.

The Incidence of Myocarditis and Pericarditis in Post COVID-19 Unvaccinated Patients-A Large Population-Based Study

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35456309/

https://www.mdpi.com/journal/jcm

Myocarditis and pericarditis, post-acute cardiac sequelae of COVID-19 infection,

arising from adaptive immune responses.

? incidence

Retrospective cohort study

Study group, had infection

N = 196,992 adults after COVID-19 infection

(Clalit Health Services)

March 2020 to January 2021

Inpatient myocarditis and pericarditis diagnoses,

from day 10 after positive PCR

Israeli vaccination program initiated on 20 December 2020

Follow-up was censored on 28 February 2021

Control cohort, never infected

N = 590,976 adults,

with at least one negative PCR and no positive PCR

(age- and sex-matched)

Calculated backward from 15 December 2020

Results

Post-COVID-19 group

Nine post-COVID-19 patients developed myocarditis (0.0046%)

Eleven diagnosed with pericarditis (0.0056%)

Control group, never covid infected

27 developed myocarditis (0.0046%) P = 1

52 developed pericarditis (0.0088%) P = 0.17

Adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]

Myocarditis, male (aHR 4.42) regardless of previous COVID-19 infection

Pericarditis, (aHR 1.93)

Peripheral vascular disease, (aHR 4.20)

Follow up

Median, 4.1 months

Covid cohort, 700,040 person-months

Non covid cohort, 2,100,077 person-months

Conclusions

Post COVID-19 infection was not associated with myocarditis (aHR 1.08)

Post COVID-19 infection was not associated with pericarditis (aHR 0.53)

We did not observe an increased incidence of neither pericarditis nor myocarditis in adult patients recovering from COVID-19 infection.

Our data suggest that there is no increase in the incidence of myocarditis and pericarditis in COVID-19 recovered patients,

compared to uninfected matched controls.

Description:

ONS, 1st November release, UK deaths, week ending 21 October 2022

13,463

15.7%

1,822 excess deaths

Deaths involving COVID-19, 5.5% of all UK deaths

https://www.bhf.org.uk/-/media/files/what-we-do/influencing-change/tipping-point-bhf-report.pdf?rev=089147572a2c4dd789746b5e6f4ba617&hash=F7141D4C13A10C6C089824892CA59CDE

https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2022-10-24/debates/FF880636-BC3B-4BDB-A5E0-D6D4B82B2888/Covid-19VaccinesSafety

Mr. Andrew Bridgen MP (NW Leicestershire)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pfgGCgxGYkk

Eurostat

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/demo_mexrt/default/table?lang=en

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=File:Map01_Excess_Mortality_2022_Aug.png