The new data:

Data pre-COVID/Wuhan virus:

Description:

ONS, 1st November release, UK deaths, week ending 21 October 2022

13,463

15.7%

1,822 excess deaths

Deaths involving COVID-19, 5.5% of all UK deaths

https://www.bhf.org.uk/-/media/files/what-we-do/influencing-change/tipping-point-bhf-report.pdf?rev=089147572a2c4dd789746b5e6f4ba617&hash=F7141D4C13A10C6C089824892CA59CDE

https://hansard.parliament.uk/commons/2022-10-24/debates/FF880636-BC3B-4BDB-A5E0-D6D4B82B2888/Covid-19VaccinesSafety

Mr. Andrew Bridgen MP (NW Leicestershire)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pfgGCgxGYkk

Eurostat

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/demo_mexrt/default/table?lang=en

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=File:Map01_Excess_Mortality_2022_Aug.png

Latest from Dr. John Campbell:

Covid antibodies found in stored blood samples

Milan Institute for Tumour Diseases, Coronavirus antibodies, September, 2019

Unexpected detection of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the prepandemic period in Italy (October 2021)

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33176598/

Full text version

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8529295/

Screening and Multiple Intervention on Lung Epidemics (SMILE

https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03654105

There are no robust data, coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and spread, prepandemic period worldwide

We investigated the presence of SARS-CoV-2 receptor-binding domain (RBD)-specific antibodies

Blood samples of 959 asymptomatic individuals,

enrolled in a prospective lung cancer screening trial,

between September 2019 and March 2020

Plasma samples repository

Results

SARS-CoV-2 RBD-specific antibodies were detected in,

111 of 959 (11.6%) individuals

All the patients were asymptomatic at the time of blood sample collection.

Actual timeframe

First positive test, 3rd September

September 2019 23/162 (14.2%)

October 2019 27/166 (16.3%)

Second week of February 2020, (more than 30%)

By the end of September, Lombardy, Veneto, Piedmont, Emilia Romagna, Liguria, Lazio, Campania, Friuli.

Official timeframe

End of December 2019, coronavirus 2 identified in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China

January 30th 2020 Italy’s first two cases,

(two tourists from China tested positive in Rome)

February 20, 2020 Lombardy, 38-year-old man, no history of travel

Authors

This study shows an unexpected very early circulation of SARS-CoV-2 among asymptomatic individuals

Several months before the first patient was identified

Finding SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in asymptomatic people before the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy may reshape the history of pandemic.

Phenomena 1

Underestimation of prevalence

Swabs and serology, focused on symptomatic cases

Therefore, an underestimation of overall COVID-19 infections

(Selection bias)

Therefore overestimation of mortality rate

May 25 and July 15 (2020)

SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence study, n = 64,660

Prevalence rate was 2.5%

Approximately 1.5 million, (many of whom were asymptomatic)

Estimate almost 5 times higher than official reports

Phenomena 2

Onset of the epidemic, likely to have preceded identification of the first case

November–December 2019

Doctors reporting, severe respiratory symptoms in elderly and frail,

with atypical bilateral bronchitis,

which was attributed to aggressive forms of seasonal influenza

Based on these findings, a prior unnoticed circulation of the virus among the Italian population could be hypothesized.

October 2019 to February 2020

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7428442/

Molecular analysis, PCR, 40 wastewater samples Milan/Lombardy, Turin/Piedmont, and Bologna/Emilia Romagna)

Presence of viral RNA,

December 18th in Milan and Turin

So, in which direction did the virus travel?

7th Military World Games

??????????

Commonly known as Wuhan 2019

October 18–27, 2019

Around 230,000 volunteers

9,308 athletes from 109 countries competing in 329 events

Released moments ago:

Description:

Deaths from cardiovascular disease show a significant excess

Epidemiologist Veena Raleigh, The King’s Fund

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/10/29/disastrous-legacy-left-lockdown-non-covid-excess-deaths-overtake/

Food writer dies aged 49

https://www.theguardian.com/books/2022/nov/02/julie-powell-food-writer-and-blogger-behind-julie-julia-dies-aged-49

Cardiac arrest caused by heart arrhythmia

Olivebridge, upstate New York, 26 October, 2022

Survived by her husband, brother and parents

Throughout October

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths

An average of 1,564 extra deaths per week

Throughout 2020 it was 315

Throughout 2021 it was 1,322

24,440 non covid deaths since May, 2022

More on the proximal causes

https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYmUwNmFhMjYtNGZhYS00NDk2LWFlMTAtOTg0OGNhNmFiNGM0IiwidCI6ImVlNGUxNDk5LTRhMzUtNGIyZS1hZDQ3LTVmM2NmOWRlODY2NiIsImMiOjh9

23 March, 2020 (first UK lockdown)

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths?areaType=nation&areaName=England

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending21october2022

Deaths registered, UK, week ending 21 October 2022

13,463

15.7% above the five-year average = 1,822 excess deaths

1,379 in week up to 23 March, 2020

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/10/29/disastrous-legacy-left-lockdown-non-covid-excess-deaths-overtake/

All age groups

https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYmUwNmFhMjYtNGZhYS00NDk2LWFlMTAtOTg0OGNhNmFiNGM0IiwidCI6ImVlNGUxNDk5LTRhMzUtNGIyZS1hZDQ3LTVmM2NmOWRlODY2NiIsImMiOjh9

E.g. 0 to 24

Amitava Banerjee, clinical data science, consultant cardiologist, Institute of Health Informatics, University College London

We should never ever have had a pandemic preparedness team that did not consider the indirect and long-term effects.

We focussed on the direct effects of excess deaths from covid,

but from the beginning it’s likely the indirect effects will lead to more deaths,

and more morbidity and more economic impacts than Covid deaths itself

What I see is still a focus on the direct effects of Covid

Nobody who is in charge of the NHS, or any of the new health secretaries, are making any noises about it

Just when did the covid virus start spreading around the world?

Senator’s report on viral origins

(Richard Burr)

https://www.help.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/report_an_analysis_of_the_origins_of_covid-19_102722.pdf

Section III

China’s early COVID-19 Vaccine Development versus the U.S. Operation Warp Speed

Full genetic sequence, SARS-CoV-2

First posted, global virus database, January 11, 2020

Chinese professor, violated government restrictions

Then

Vaccine developers inserted viral genome into cells to produce viral proteins

Preclinical animal toxicity

Safety and efficacy studies

Human clinical safety and efficacy trials

Commercial scale vaccine production.

Operation Warp Speed

Pre OWS work started on January 11, 2020

E.g. Adenovirus vector vaccines

The AstraZeneca-Oxford, went from sequence to phase I clinical trials in 103 days

(Ebola platform)

J and J was 185 days

Three adenovirus vector vaccines

Pfizer trail started 7th May 2020

Another Chinese vaccine was patented on 24th February 2020

(Brigadier General Yusen Zhou, Academy of Military Medical Sciences)

Question

Did Chinese researchers have access to the genomic sequence before January 11, 2020?

If so, how far in advance of January 11, 2020?

MEP Cristian Terhes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jTgDj7uiX8

In the case of Pfizer

Submitted a clinical trial that started in 14th January 2020

Three days later Pfizer already started a test for these vaccines

Moderna

Trials since 2017

https://www.modernatx.com/en-US/about-us/our-story

https://apnews.com/article/fact-checking-161756112404

https://www.riotimesonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Moderna-Patent-US9587003-B2.pdf

https://patentimages.storage.googleapis.com/01/6e/60/8951ab8f4118b5/US9587003.pdf

Virus shares a sequence of 19 nucleotides with Moderna genome

Part of spike protein
Coincidence or not a coincidence?

(Adenine, Cytosine, Guanine, Uracil)

Released a few hours ago:

From the same authoritative source but for 2019 :

Analogous 2019 figures for the same week are a lot smaller.

Comparing 2022 to 2019:
Infant (under 1): 61 compared to 54
Kids (1-14): 6+9+6 (21) compared to 14
Adults (15-44): 18+22+38+58+83+124 (343) compared to 303
Older adults (45-64): 155+290+427+528 (1,400) compared to 1,154
Retired (65-74): 749+1,045 (1,794) compared to 1,628
75-84: 1,641+1,900 (3,541) compared to 2,920
Above 85: 2,153+2,625 (4,778) compared to 4,083

Also see (for the prior week, week 41): England and Wales Increase in Deaths by Age Group: 62% in Children, 12% in Teens, Almost 20% in Adults, and 16% in Old People

New data has just been published by ONS. It shows that things continue to get yet worse in terms of increases in mortality. It’s worse now than it was in prior weeks and deaths have increased nearly 23% for the week (compared to pre-pandemic levels).

The data sets were shared here before (we had made local copies), so here’s just a pair/couple of screenshots.

2022 deaths (totals):

Compare to pre-pandemic: