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Thursday, September 8th, 2022, 10:30 pm

Number of UK Tests for COVID-19 Plunge (But Cases Rise!)

Interesting turn of events today:

Testing down sharply

Notice the numbers. Don’t we still need to identify who is infected? Apparently not. Liz TruSSmp acts as if COVID-19 was more or less a hoax and the Queen, who caught COVID-19 some months ago, has just died.

Will the Queen’s death be used as pretext to not release COVID-19 information for a while? All the pages in the portal look like this now:

covid-19-delays

I have nothing against the Queen. For the record, I have some respect for her. But the way COVID-19 is handled is a disservice for those of us not planning to get infected.

Thursday, September 8th, 2022, 4:59 pm

NHS Once Again Admits That the Number of Deaths It Gave Was Wrong (More People Had Died Than It Disclosed)

It keeps happening (sometimes thousands of ‘missing’ deaths, sometimes less)

Today, after eight days of silence, the portal coronavirus.data.gov.uk was updated. It’s the worst COVID-19 summer so far (in terms of deaths, hospital admissions etc.), but apparently keeping us updated every day isn’t seen as justified by Liz TruSSmp and her party.

Here’s a prominent new notice (top of pages):

September 2022

Log category: data issue

Deaths figures for England include backlog

There is a catch up in reporting of deaths by NHS England following the August bank holiday. Deaths figures by report date on 8 September 2022 include some deaths that would ordinarily have been reported on 31 August 2022.

Deaths by death date are backdated.

Screenshot (as this page will be deleted/wiped in the future):

Deaths figures for England include backlog

And then there’s also this:

8 September 2022

Log category:change to metric

Small number of additional deaths added in England

Due to improvements in processing methods, a small number of past deaths have been reallocated to fall within the 28 day interval for defining a death within 28 days of a positive COVID-19 test. This has resulted in the addition of 150 deaths between March 2020 and August 2022.
Additional details

Process improvements in identifying which specimen date is used to calculate time between a positive test and a death, a small number of past deaths have been reallocated to fall within the 28 day definition and a small number have been allocated to fall outside of the 28 day interval. This has resulted in a net change of adding 150 deaths between March 2020 and August 2022.

Screenshot (as this page will be deleted/wiped in the future):

Small number of additional deaths added in England

Well, it’s hardly the first time this happens. I’ve lost count of how many times they retroactively added deaths to past days, after graphs had already been rendered based on the smaller figures. Can’t they get the basics right? Like counting death certificates? These are people’s lives!

Wednesday, September 7th, 2022, 9:46 pm

Human Memory’s Obnoxious Weakness

JUST to be clear, what’s described herein isn’t chronic. I believe this to be so widespread that every person is affected to some extent.


Tonight I decided to write about something that has been on my mind for years. It is something I’m sure some people can relate to.

One does not need to be a senile to forget some things. We all have limited capacity; there are limits in one’s memory and brains generally degrade in what they store and how much they can store. We can only try to train them to store more, and for longer.

Sometimes I forget something I was planning to check or do; all I know or can remember was the estimated importance or duration. Sometimes it comes back later, owing to some mnemonic or triggering vision/event. Sometimes it doesn’t come back at all. Sometimes I’m not even sure. It’s hard to verify anything about something you do not remember or did not remember moments ago.

From personal experience (live and learn!) I’ve learned this can happen either due to overload (trying to remember too many things at the same time and failing to take note of them… or literally write down notes). The other situation is an interruption or interference. Sometimes you know you already have too many tasks or ideas, so anything additional would almost guarantee the loss of one’s train of thought (or mental list; I set the limit at 3 or 4… anything beyond that is a stretch).

There are mitigations though; the simplest one is not caring. There’s no point spending hours passively or actively trying to recall something that’s either not important or a lost cause (cannot be recalled). Sometimes it’s a case of “it’ll come back later”. Another mitigation is more note-taking or making people aware that under some certain circumstances interruptions are not acceptable. Reducing any sort of multitasking can help too; try to serialise — to the extent feasible — almost everything in order to avoid overload. The mind isn’t meant to multitask anyway; it’s more like a round-robin instrument.

In the past this happened to me a lot more. Each time it happened I tried to learn from the mistake and prevent recurrence. Oftentimes attempts to recollect what was forgotten (‘recovery’ of a task) can drag on for hours. Imposing a break (like sleep or going somewhere else) can break the mental longing to recall. Sometimes it also help to mentally — as in mental note — rank importance of things. If something not important gets forgotten, at least you can convince yourself it’s not a big deal. And speaking of big deals, how big a task is (or how long it should take) can help classify it. If later on it comes back or springs back to mind it’s easier to reaffirm, “yes, that was it!”

At the end of the day we all have thoughts all the time. Sometimes we can write things down, type things down, and sometimes we cannot (sleeping, eating, showering), so limiting the persistence of thoughts is essential.

Unless you were going to phone an ambulance or turn off a boiling hob/oven, whatever it is you were planning to do (but forgot) is likely not critical — nowhere as critical as the time you might burn trying to recall it.

Mind mapping or memory management aren’t a new sort of challenge; there are various tools for that and compromises are made. With or without physical instruments, it’s possible to overcome to desire or longing to remember everything. In the process of backtracking you might even recall things you didn’t know you forgot (or things that needed to be remembered).

I’d love to know if other people have had similar experiences; I suppose more or less everyone has encountered this a lot, but the way people handle that may vary.

Tuesday, September 6th, 2022, 5:09 am

Our New Prime Minister: More of the Same

Recent:

truss-covid-19

Tories be like:

Mask?  I don't need no mask! I got Tories.

Saturday, September 3rd, 2022, 6:28 am

UK Statistics: About 58% of the Population Opted to Receive a ‘Booster’ (and Now They Say Another Vaccine is Needed)

Just over half of the British population took a third ‘synthetic’ COVID-19 dose, aka “booster”. Seems many people decided they had suffered enough and the available cure wasn’t perceived to be potent enough (better than placebo but not enough to curb COVID-19).

UK boosrer numbers

Had the government not rushed and instead properly developed something (it sent it to the private sector with patents on publicly-funded work), then tested it more thoroughly/properly, maybe confidence would be higher.

When vaccine giants (read: patent pools) came out to market they said their barely-tested (no real clinical trials in line with established protocols) products were like 90% effective… then 92%…. then 96%… etc. This smelled like baseless, crude marketing (cheating to quote higher figures than the competition’s), with no independent audit or reproducible tests. More than 1.5 years later we can all see they lied about efficacy, hence they’ve caused hesitancy. The problem is, they’ve lowered people’s confidence in vaccination and some became more cynical about other shots, too. Boys who cried “wolf”? Unintended consequences? We now see the monkeypox patent pool; it leapfrogged the normal procedures similarly, showing what a such race to the bottom (of QA) begets.

I’m pro vaccines and vaccinated. There’s nothing wrong with vaccines per se. Not testing them properly, or not learning from major blunders from the past, is what’s wrong. Even the original polio vaccine took about half a decade before large-scale rollouts. We should not tolerate abandonment of quality control, which is another form of public safety. We’re meant to also be guarded from corporate greed; the government needs to properly assess the quality and safety of such products. There should be no shortcuts in the supervision process. None. Don’t prioritise profits.

Critical thinkers and sceptics haven’t lost sight of the fact that British media now pushes for a new vaccine. Yeah, because the first one was so successful that this summer was the worst so far.

Got three doses; Now they say I need a new (another) vaccine

Friday, September 2nd, 2022, 1:55 am

This Summer’s COVID-19 Hospital Admissions Almost Ten Times Worse (or Higher) Than 2 Summers Ago

Even judging by August, which wasn’t as bad as prior summer months

2022 (latest information to date, UK-wide)

(Date, number of COVID-19 hospital admissions)
25-08-2022 721
24-08-2022 713
23-08-2022 781
22-08-2022 739
21-08-2022 667
20-08-2022 640
19-08-2022 728
18-08-2022 770
17-08-2022 866
16-08-2022 909
15-08-2022 972
14-08-2022 838
13-08-2022 840
12-08-2022 867
11-08-2022 1,011
10-08-2022 1,122
09-08-2022 1,088
08-08-2022 1,081
07-08-2022 985
06-08-2022 850
05-08-2022 1,031
04-08-2022 1,130
03-08-2022 1,189
02-08-2022 1,206
01-08-2022 1,263

2020 (no lockdowns, just masks and some distance; gyms and pubs open)

(Date, number of COVID-19 hospital admissions)
24-08-2020 91
23-08-2020 74
22-08-2020 73
21-08-2020 109
20-08-2020 98
19-08-2020 113
18-08-2020 128
17-08-2020 95
16-08-2020 80
15-08-2020 99
14-08-2020 100
13-08-2020 129
12-08-2020 101
11-08-2020 114
10-08-2020 86
09-08-2020 106
08-08-2020 140
07-08-2020 117
06-08-2020 100
05-08-2020 138
04-08-2020 125
03-08-2020 110
02-08-2020 93
01-08-2020 128

Source: coronavirus.data.gov.uk

Update just published in the site this week:

Updates will move to Thursdays from 1 September 2022

From 1 September 2022, the COVID-19 Dashboard will move to reporting on Thursdays instead of Wednesdays. The last Wednesday update of the Dashboard was therefore on 31 August 2022. Updates will be published every Thursday at 4pm commencing on 8 September 2022.

Daily data up to the most recent available will continue to be added in each weekly update.

This will align the COVID-19 dashboard reporting with NHS England reporting of hospital statistics and with reporting on cases and deaths in Wales.

For more information, read the NHS England release.

For long-term preservation purposes, a screenshot:

Updates will move to Thursdays from 1 September 2022

Updates will move to Thursdays from 1 September 2022

The graphs in the “dashboard” compare week to week (rolling/sliding) rather than equivalent times of the year across years. That’s misleading and the media likes to do the same.

Wednesday, August 31st, 2022, 3:34 pm

UK’s Coronavirus Deaths in August Almost 4 Times Higher Than Same Time 2 Years Ago (First Summer of COVID-19)

Today’s numbers (tally) are incomplete, but the latest data is from the 19th and it counts 205,600 deaths:

[Date followed by number of deaths]
19-08-2022 25
18-08-2022 31
17-08-2022 38
16-08-2022 50
15-08-2022 69
14-08-2022 74
13-08-2022 78
12-08-2022 88
11-08-2022 85
10-08-2022 66
09-08-2022 83
08-08-2022 88
07-08-2022 93
06-08-2022 62
05-08-2022 79
04-08-2022 77
03-08-2022 99
02-08-2022 97
01-08-2022 90

Total deaths: 1,282

Same days two years ago:

[Date followed by number of deaths]
19-08-2020 13
18-08-2020 15
17-08-2020 21
16-08-2020 15
15-08-2020 23
14-08-2020 18
13-08-2020 23
12-08-2020 24
11-08-2020 20
10-08-2020 25
09-08-2020 19
08-08-2020 22
07-08-2020 24
06-08-2020 21
05-08-2020 13
04-08-2020 27
03-08-2020 23
02-08-2020 17
01-08-2020 20

Total deaths: 363

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