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Surviving COVID-19 Does Not Mean Going Back to Normal (Mortality Rates Are Still at All-Time Highs)

More than 10 times the casualties (fatalities) of COVID-19 are — or were — living as disabled people

Long COVID or Post-COVID Conditions

Covid-19: Two million people in the UK...

Covid-19: Two million people in the UK are estimated to be experiencing long covid, says ONS

References:

Scotland is Already Suffering a COVID-19 Surge, Admissions to ICUs Nearly Doubled in a Week

COVID-19 statistical report

As noted earlier today [1, 2], getting COVID-19 data on — or from — Scotland has gotten a lot harder. The above COVID-19 statistical report (“This weekly release by Public Health Scotland presents data on COVID-19 across NHS Scotland.”) says some interesting things. The first main point is: “In Scotland, in the week ending 20 September 2022, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 117,100 (95% credible interval: 93,600 to 143,500), equating to 2.22% of the population, or around 1 in 45 people…”

The next point after that says: “In the week ending 02 October 2022, there were on average 744 patients in hospital with COVID-19, a 12.0% increase from the previous week ending 25 September 2022 (664)…”

And there’s also a ~50% leap in ICU ‘escalation’ (many cannot survive): “In the week ending 02 October 2022 there were 19 new admissions to Intensive Care Units (ICUs) with a laboratory confirmed test of COVID-19, an increase of 8 from the previous week (25 September 2022)…”

It then says: “The response to the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to have a wider impact on health and care as a result of the lockdown, economic pressures and changes to health services.”

This seems like an excuse for increased deaths, but here is the summary and full report. They published the data in proprietary Microsoft formats, so here it is in ODF.

In August 2020 Very Few Scots Died With COVID-19 (Only 19 People), But Scotland Stops Reporting Coronavirus Deaths After an August With 206 Deaths (Over 10 Times Worse)

August 2022 was the last month Scotland fully reported COVID-19 deaths. Does this data policy make any sense based on the numbers below?

August 2022:

COVID-19 deaths per day or daily deaths with COVID-19 on the death certificate by date of death

31-08-2022 11
30-08-2022 3
29-08-2022 3
28-08-2022 6
27-08-2022 3
26-08-2022 6
25-08-2022 3
24-08-2022 6
23-08-2022 5
22-08-2022 4
21-08-2022 6
20-08-2022 5
19-08-2022 10
18-08-2022 5
17-08-2022 6
16-08-2022 4
15-08-2022 10
14-08-2022 12
13-08-2022 3
12-08-2022 7
11-08-2022 9
10-08-2022 3
09-08-2022 10
08-08-2022 15
07-08-2022 8
06-08-2022 7
05-08-2022 10
04-08-2022 9
03-08-2022 7
02-08-2022 10
01-08-2022 7

August 2021:

31-08-2021 10
30-08-2021 5
29-08-2021 8
28-08-2021 9
27-08-2021 11
26-08-2021 7
25-08-2021 7
24-08-2021 4
23-08-2021 9
22-08-2021 6
21-08-2021 5
20-08-2021 8
19-08-2021 7
18-08-2021 7
17-08-2021 4
16-08-2021 4
15-08-2021 7
14-08-2021 8
13-08-2021 10
12-08-2021 3
11-08-2021 5
10-08-2021 5
09-08-2021 6
08-08-2021 7
07-08-2021 9
06-08-2021 7
05-08-2021 7
04-08-2021 7
03-08-2021 3
02-08-2021 7
01-08-2021 12

August 2020:

31-08-2020 0
30-08-2020 1
29-08-2020 0
28-08-2020 1
27-08-2020 1
26-08-2020 1
25-08-2020 1
24-08-2020 0
23-08-2020 1
22-08-2020 1
21-08-2020 0
20-08-2020 0
19-08-2020 2
18-08-2020 1
17-08-2020 1
16-08-2020 1
15-08-2020 1
14-08-2020 0
13-08-2020 1
12-08-2020 0
11-08-2020 0
10-08-2020 0
09-08-2020 0
08-08-2020 0
07-08-2020 0
06-08-2020 1
05-08-2020 2
04-08-2020 1
03-08-2020 1
02-08-2020 0
01-08-2020 0

Scotland Stopped Reporting COVID-19 Hospitalisations on 9/11 Despite Numbers Being TEN TIMES WORSE Than in 2020

Does Scotland hope to ‘solve’ or end the pandemic by merely not reporting its effects anymore?

COVID-19 patients admitted to hospital in Scotland, per day:

August 2022

31-08-2022 58
30-08-2022 53
29-08-2022 63
28-08-2022 50
27-08-2022 40
26-08-2022 49
25-08-2022 74
24-08-2022 71
23-08-2022 67
22-08-2022 69
21-08-2022 52
20-08-2022 35
19-08-2022 74
18-08-2022 57
17-08-2022 58
16-08-2022 67
15-08-2022 91
14-08-2022 54
13-08-2022 56
12-08-2022 94
11-08-2022 77
10-08-2022 89
09-08-2022 88
08-08-2022 85
07-08-2022 62
06-08-2022 47
05-08-2022 75
04-08-2022 87
03-08-2022 94
02-08-2022 107
01-08-2022 108

August 2021 (not long after ‘freedom day’, i.e. no restrictions)

31-08-2021 133
30-08-2021 107
29-08-2021 93
28-08-2021 103
27-08-2021 108
26-08-2021 105
25-08-2021 107
24-08-2021 101
23-08-2021 74
22-08-2021 56
21-08-2021 51
20-08-2021 67
19-08-2021 63
18-08-2021 62
17-08-2021 58
16-08-2021 32
15-08-2021 30
14-08-2021 44
13-08-2021 41
12-08-2021 40
11-08-2021 42
10-08-2021 71
09-08-2021 39
08-08-2021 38
07-08-2021 41
06-08-2021 56
05-08-2021 66
04-08-2021 38
03-08-2021 49
02-08-2021 51
01-08-2021 37

August 2020

31-08-2020 4
30-08-2020 3
29-08-2020 4
28-08-2020 6
27-08-2020 9
26-08-2020 9
25-08-2020 8
24-08-2020 8
23-08-2020 1
22-08-2020 6
21-08-2020 4
20-08-2020 8
19-08-2020 4
18-08-2020 3
17-08-2020 5
16-08-2020 2
15-08-2020 7
14-08-2020 4
13-08-2020 2
12-08-2020 2
11-08-2020 2
10-08-2020 5
09-08-2020 0
08-08-2020 2
07-08-2020 4
06-08-2020 0
05-08-2020 3
04-08-2020 1
03-08-2020 3
02-08-2020 0
01-08-2020 2

Seems like masks and distancing lowered the COVID-induced hospital visits to almost 0.

NHS Data: Almost Half of People Who Receive First COVID-19 Vaccine in England Are Children

People who have received first vaccination, by report date: (latest available, nothing since October second)

02-10-2022 1,036
01-10-2022 2,730
30-09-2022 1,427
29-09-2022 1,503
28-09-2022 1,257
27-09-2022 1,093
26-09-2022 1,490

People aged 12 and over who have received first vaccination, by vaccination date: (latest available)

05-10-2022 833
04-10-2022 772
03-10-2022 639
02-10-2022 444
01-10-2022 1,354
30-09-2022 929
29-09-2022 1,093
28-09-2022 821
27-09-2022 795
26-09-2022 722

Difference: (people aged under 12 who have received first vaccination)

02-10-2022 592
01-10-2022 1376
30-09-2022 498
29-09-2022 410
28-09-2022 436
27-09-2022 298
26-09-2022 768

Shown in bold above are days when more kids were vaccinated (first shot) than adults, with an age cutoff of 12.

As noted back in July, Who Still Gets Vaccinated for COVID-19 in England? Kids Under 12, the New ‘Captive Market’, Almost 2/3 of New Clients

In 2022, to Date, British Deaths Massively Increased Compared to the Prior Year

excess-deaths

GETTING complete data from our government is like drawing blood from a rock, so I spent some time chasing and gluing together bits of data.

The data is scattered, so it takes a lot of effort pulling all the figures and then comparing apples to apples (not oranges).

The NHS/ONS are sadly using Microsoft formats and outsourcing to JavaScript (spyware; likely GDPR violations) sites controlled by Microsoft. Below the figures the reader can find all the data in an open format (I’ve converted it). Yes! All the underlying data is included as OpenDocument Format (ODF) below. In the public interest, making it more accessible.

Here’s the objective number of deaths in 2022 (by week):

10 Jun 2022 11,742
17 Jun 2022 10,844
24 Jun 2022 10,836
1 Jul 2022 10,357
8 Jul 2022 10,232
15 Jul 2022 10,515
22 Jul 2022 10,978
29 Jul 2022 11,013
5 Aug 2022 10,698
12 Aug 2022 10,355
19 Aug 2022 10,982
26 Aug 2022 10,942
2 Sep 2022 8,868
9 Sep 2022 10,753
16 Sep 2022 10,673

From what can be gathered, based on another dataset, in 2021 the numbers were a lot lower:

Week 25 8,591
Week 26 8,699
Week 27 9,569
Week 28 9,479
Week 29 9,417
Week 30 9,731
Week 31 9,660
Week 32 9,801
Week 33 9,443
Week 34 9,600
Week 35 8,138
Week 36 10,178
Week 37 10,158
Week 38 9,796
Week 39 9,727

So about 1,000 more people die each month this year (compared to last year, which was also a “COVID year”).

Data:

References:

1. UK government
2. ONS

COVID-19 Positivity Rate Soaring in England Even Before October

The surge starts earlier this year than in prior years.

Weekly number of people receiving a PCR test and positivity

Data up to September 26th (not even October yet), based on yesterday’s latest data. By now it must be approaching 10%.

On the same date last year the rate was 6.8% and 2 years ago it was 3.2%.

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