Archive for the ‘Science’ Category
COVID-19 in England in October (10): Over 10 Thousand in Hospital, Over a Thousand Admitted Per Day, Over 10% Testing Positive (PCR)
So far in October, the 10th month, we’ve been seeing 19% more deaths than before the pandemic (in England and Wales).
So the problem has clearly not been tackled. Changing Prime Minister won’t fix this, either.
Half an hour ago figures came out for the past week.
Number of COVID-19 patients in hospital, by date:
19-10-2022 10,387
18-10-2022 10,594
17-10-2022 10,688
16-10-2022 10,584
15-10-2022 10,502
14-10-2022 10,420
13-10-2022 10,524
12-10-2022 10,608
11-10-2022 10,522
10-10-2022 10,397
09-10-2022 10,181
08-10-2022 10,049
07-10-2022 10,070
Number of COVID-19 patients added to hospital, by date:
17-10-2022 1,121
16-10-2022 1,206
15-10-2022 900
14-10-2022 978
13-10-2022 1,247
12-10-2022 1,150
11-10-2022 1,207
10-10-2022 1,275
09-10-2022 1,252
08-10-2022 885
07-10-2022 946
06-10-2022 1,163
05-10-2022 1,259
04-10-2022 1,418
03-10-2022 1,344
02-10-2022 1,262
01-10-2022 1,091
30-09-2022 870
29-09-2022 1,158
28-09-2022 1,134
27-09-2022 1,045
England’s number of PCR tests and positivity rate
10-10-2022 160,558 9.9%
09-10-2022 161,342 10.2%
08-10-2022 161,482 10.4%
07-10-2022 160,927 10.5%
06-10-2022 158,922 10.5%
05-10-2022 157,623 10.4%
04-10-2022 155,269 10.4%
03-10-2022 151,261 10.1%
02-10-2022 150,281 9.7%
01-10-2022 150,200 9.4%
‘COVID Effect’: Almost 20% Increase in England and Wales Deaths in Latest Week’s Data From Office for National Statistics (ONS)
Comparing pre-COVID years to 2022 mortality levels
ome new numbers were published just over a day ago:
To quote the summary: “In the week ending 7 October 2022 (Week 40), 11,207 deaths were registered in England and Wales; 400 of these deaths mentioned “novel coronavirus (COVID-19)”, accounting for 3.6% of all deaths.”
But how many of them were COVID survivors just ‘limping along’ and dying later without that counting as COVID-19 linked?
Further down it says: “The number of deaths registered in the UK in the week ending 7 October 2022 (Week 40) was 12,793, which was 13.7% above the five-year average (1,538 excess deaths); of these deaths, 449 involved COVID-19, which was 106 more than in Week 39.”
But this 5-year average includes 3 years of COVID-19 (this year, 2021, and 2020), so let’s go back in time and see pre-COVID death rates for this wee.
In 2019 week 40 had 9,799 deaths and the 5-year average was 9,450. See screenshot (we already uploaded the original report as ODF):
11,207 – 9,450 = 1757.
So for this week alone, for England and Wales alone, we’re 1757 higher than the 5-year average of pre-COVID levels.
1757 is almost 19% of 9,450, so we’re taking about an increase of almost 20% of this week.
New Video: Neonatal Deaths on the Rise
The video’s description (in case Google will take down the video/channel, which seems likely):
Review of Neonatal Mortality in Scotland
https://www.healthcareimprovementscotland.org/our_work/governance_and_assurance/programme_resources/neonatal_mortality_in_scotland.aspx
Healthcare Improvement Scotland, asked by Scottish Government
Review of significant increase in neonatal mortality
2021 to 2022
Scottish Government orders review as neonatal deaths higher than expected
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-63097142
Neonatal death rates, two spikes over six-months
September 2021, at least 21 babies under 4 weeks died
March 2022, at least 18 babies under 4 weeks died
Average mortality rate among newborns
Two per 1,000 births.
In September 2021, 4.9 per 1,000 births
March 2020, 4.6 per 1,000 births
For all of 2021, 3.9 infant deaths for every thousand live births
For all of 2020, 3.1
(A preliminary investigation found the September spike was not linked to Covid)
This form of monitoring introduced, July 2017
Dr Sarah Stock, maternal and foetal medicine, University of Edinburgh
https://www.scotsman.com/health/scottish-government-orders-review-as-neonatal-deaths-higher-than-expected-3863538
I think the numbers are really troubling and I don’t think we know the reasons why yet.
What we do know it’s not neonatal Covid – the rates of Covid-19 infection in babies are very low and deaths from Covid are thankfully very, very small,
so this isn’t Covid affecting babies
Covid Scotland: Vaccines ruled out in neonatal deaths spike
https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/23028843.covid-scotland-vaccines-ruled-cause-neonatal-deaths-spike/?ref=rss
PUBLIC health experts ruled out any link between spikes in neonatal deaths and the Covid vaccine
without checking whether any of the infants’ mothers had received the jag during pregnancy.
Experts stressed, no “plausible” link to justify investigating maternal vaccination status.
Public Health Scotland (PHS) said its consultants had given “careful consideration” to the “potential benefits and harms” of carrying out such as analysis as part of its probe into the tragic deaths of 39 infants,
but concluded against doing so
PHS added
A risk that “identifying the vaccination status of the mothers, even at aggregate level,
would result in harm to those individuals and others close to them,
through actual or perceived judgement of the effects of their personal vaccination decision”
Furthermore
“the outcomes of such analysis, whilst being uninformative for public health decision making,
had the potential to be used to harm vaccine confidence at this critical time”
PHS response, “We do not have any plans to examine maternal vaccination status, as there is no public health reason to do so”.
NHS logging baby deaths as stillbirths ‘to avoid scrutiny’
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/10/16/nhs-logging-baby-deaths-stillbirths-avoid-scrutiny/
Families call into question trusts’ transparency after hospital accounts clash with their experience
NHS hospitals have claimed that babies born alive were stillborn
prompting accusations they were trying to avoid scrutiny.
Six children who died before they left hospital were wrongly described as stillborn.
Several of the children lived for minutes and one lived for five days.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-powers-to-investigate-stillbirths
At present, coroners can only hold inquests for babies who have shown signs of life after being born.
The babies identified by The Telegraph should have been recorded as neonatal deaths, but staff claimed they were stillbirths
‘Our baby was alive for five days but was recorded as a stillbirth’
CDC Data: Mortality Rates in the United States by Age Groups (2017-2020)
Personal observation: in my age group the death rate exploded by 25%. In just one year! Based on more recent data (with no age group separation), 2022 is no better than 2020.
References
NOTE: There is no similar study later than the above. See the date below.
Related: CDC Data: US Deaths About 25% Higher This Winter Than Last Winter Before COVID-19 (Updated)
The Conspicuous Table of England COVID-19 Vaccination Rates (NIMS)
Published days ago:
The COVID-19 official portal gives rather different figures:
Are they measuring the same thing?
One figure mentions a total of 62 million. Are they non-citizen residents of England? Clarifications needed. If statistics they present us with are misleading, maybe they should be revised. In Switzerland, for instance, they openly admit less than 70% are fully vaccinated for COVID-19.
4 Months Later, Office for National Statistics (ONS) Data on England and Wales Deaths Remains Uncorrected
It could not possibly be this low. Where are those missing deaths? Dispersed across other weeks? Lost in Microsoft Excel? Undated? The documents shown here do not say (week 25 and week 24).
This is statistically impossible (HSA cites ONS)
The original from ONS:
Not corrected a week later:
Now in October there is still no correction of those figures.






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