The surge starts earlier this year than in prior years.

Data up to September 26^th (not even October yet), based on yesterday’s latest data. By now it must be approaching 10%.

On the same date last year the rate was 6.8% and 2 years ago it was 3.2%.

Patients with COVID-19 in hospital as of 05-10-2022: 9,631
Patients with COVID-19 in hospital as of 05-10-2021: 5,009
Patients with COVID-19 in hospital as of 05-10-2020: 2,903

Late release of data notwithstanding (and missing data from Scotland), here we see how bad things have gotten. Compare new confirmed cases in the first 5 days (we don’t have a week yet) of October, split over the 3 years:

2020

5-10-2020 14,218
04-10-2020 9,966
03-10-2020 9,820
02-10-2020 11,719
01-10-2020 11,444

2021

05-10-2021 32,268
04-10-2021 36,476
03-10-2021 27,137
02-10-2021 21,873
01-10-2021 24,134

2022

05-10-2022 5,990
04-10-2022 9,098
03-10-2022 10,249
02-10-2022 8,400
01-10-2022 6,441

Now compare to hospitalisations:

2020

03-10-2020 386
02-10-2020 371
01-10-2020 368
30-09-2020 328
29-09-2020 310
28-09-2020 308

2021

03-10-2021 577
02-10-2021 549
01-10-2021 520
30-09-2021 552
29-09-2021 625
28-09-2021 596

2022

03-10-2022 1,344
02-10-2022 1,262
01-10-2022 1,091
30-09-2022 870
29-09-2022 1,158
28-09-2022 1,134

Hospitalisation rate up 33% in the past week alone.

Meanwhile Google is purging many voices in YouTube. Here’s an hours-old video about symptoms:

The numbers of cases go up sharply, based on the ZOE health study:

Based on 2021 infections (data), we still — or currently — have about 4,000 more people scarred with “Long COVID” every day. Recovery isn’t enough to avoid long-term health problems.

They has an entire week to prepare for this!

So one hour late. At least…

Just saying what the data shows (to better assess efficacy, based on data rather than what pharmaceutical companies advertise in the media):

Data as OpenDocument Format (ODS)

References: Latest Dataset from Deaths involving COVID-19 by vaccination status, England: deaths occurring between 1 January 2021 and 31 May 2022

Disclaimer: This isn’t a rejection of vaccines, just an effort to understand the efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccine used in the UK (typically from AstraZeneca, which basically privatised publicly-funded work).

Clarification: The numbers above show that most deaths impact old age groups; among those, vaccination rate was high, so the big gap in numbers isn’t telling the full story.

“Some 1.1 million people in private households tested positive for coronavirus in the latest survey, which covers the seven days to 17 September in England and the week to 20 September in the other three nations, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).” — UK ‘blind’ to new immune-evasive Covid variants creating ‘perfect storm’ for devastating wave

Also see: Covid infections on the rise in the UK

Rise in Covid hospital patients shows ‘winter wave’ has begun

Some anecdotal remarks today:

And hospitalisations grow like never before.

2022: (until latest available data for England)

28-09-2022 7,024 in hospital
27-09-2022 6,758
26-09-2022 6,439
25-09-2022 6,045
24-09-2022 5,773
23-09-2022 5,604
22-09-2022 5,366
21-09-2022 5,142

2021:

28-09-2021 5,126 in hospital
27-09-2021 5,121
26-09-2021 4,949
25-09-2021 5,100
24-09-2021 5,036
23-09-2021 5,214
22-09-2021 5,406
21-09-2021 5,543

2020:

28-09-2020 1,955 in hospital
27-09-2020 1,793
26-09-2020 1,689
25-09-2020 1,686
24-09-2020 1,546
23-09-2020 1,439
22-09-2020 1,378
21-09-2020 1,299

The current policy isn’t working. People are ill and they get poor (there’s also Long “COVID-19″, which few wish to speak about). As someone noted: “as of Monday, Labour were polling 17 points ahead of the Conservative (per YouGov). That was bad enough, but by Thursday 29th, a new poll gave Labour a stunning 33 point lead in the polls as Conservative voter support imploded. It seems that tanking the currency, the pension system, the housing market, and the national debt in just one week is slightly unpopular. Who could possibly have seen that coming?”